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Conference League
Referee: M Balakin
Celje
S T U T S
2–2
Full-time
Apoel Nicosia
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celje Apoel Nicosia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,3
2,2
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 8/6 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
75%
33%
Both score Ø 71%
75%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,2
Scored
2,1
1,3
Conceded
1,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,11 xG 0,42
60% Possession 40%
7 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 2
17 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Celje Apoel Nicosia
1–0 A. Kučys ⚽
S. Sešlar
2′
12′
🟨 Issam Chebake
26′
🔁 Marquinhos
↦ A. Donis
32′
⚽ D. Abagna 1–1
S. Dražić
42′
🟨 Konstantinos Laifis
42′
🟨 Marquinhos
Mark Zabukovnik 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–1
57′
🟨 Lasha Dvali
Armandas Kučys ❌
penalty missed
59′
2–1 A. Kučys ⚽
59′
61′
🔁 Y. El-Arabi
↦ S. Dražić
70′
⚽ K. Laifis 2–2
Sergio Tejera
73′
🟨 Lasha Dvali
73′
🟥 Lasha Dvali
D. Vukliševič 🔁
↦ Ł. Bejger
74′
C. Lhernault 🔁
↦ M. Kvesić
74′
A. Matko 🔁
↦ L. Delaurier-Chaubet
74′
83′
🔁 P. Kattirtzis
↦ D. Abagna
83′
🔁 Iván Alejo
↦ Marquinhos
Edmilson 🔁
↦ S. Sešlar
86′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Celje

4-1-4-1
41 Ricardo Silva G
2 Juanjo Nieto D
44 Ł. Bejger D
81 K. Nemanič D
23 Ž. Karničnik D
19 M. Zabukovnik M
35 L. Delaurier-Chaubet M
11 S. Sešlar M
16 M. Kvesić M
88 T. Svetlin M
47 A. Kučys F
Bench (7)
3 D. Vukliševič
5 C. Lhernault
7 A. Matko
30 Edmilson
10 N. Kouter
4 M. Dulca
12 L. Kolar

Coach: Albert Riera

Apoel Nicosia

5-3-2
27 V. Belec G
29 I. Chebake D
16 M. Sušić D
5 L. Dvali D
34 K. Laifis D
19 Xavi Quintillà D
17 D. Abagna M
28 K. Galanopoulos M
8 Sergio Tejera M
20 S. Dražić F
11 A. Donis F
Bench (7)
10 Marquinhos
9 Y. El-Arabi
23 P. Kattirtzis
99 Iván Alejo
22 A. Christodoulou
30 M. Corbu
78 S. Michos

Coach: Manolo Jiménez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Balakin · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.