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Europa League
Referee: M Jug
FCSB
U U S T S
2–0
Full-time
PAOK
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FCSB PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,5
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 50%
55%
45%
Points per game
1,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
36%
45%
Both score Ø 32%
36%
27%
Average goals
2,3
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,19 xG 0,87
47% Possession 53%
10 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Feb -25 PAOK – FCSB 1–2 3. Oct -24 PAOK – FCSB 0–1

Match report

FCSB PAOK
1–0 J. Cisotti ⚽
D. Miculescu
30′
44′
🟨 Andrija Živković
Half-time 1–0
A. Gheorghiță 🔁
↦ D. Bîrligea
46′
Valentin Crețu 🟨
47′
49′
🟨 Jonny Otto
54′
🟨 Ioannis Michailidis
55′
🔁 Mady Camara
↦ S. Meïté
55′
🔁 F. Chalov
↦ M. Samatta
63′
🔁 K. Despodov
↦ D. Pelkas
64′
🟨 Kiril Despodov
B. Alhassan 🔁
↦ V. Chiricheș
72′
M. Edjouma 🔁
↦ F. Tănase
78′
79′
🔁 S. Schwab
↦ M. Ozdoev
79′
🔁 Brandon Thomas
↦ A. Živković
2–0 D. Miculescu ⚽
81′
83′
🟨 Dominik Kotarski
A. Băluță 🔁
↦ D. Miculescu
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

FCSB

4-2-3-1
32 Ș. Târnovanu G
2 V. Crețu D
30 S. Ngezana D
17 M. Popescu D
33 R. Radunović D
21 V. Chiricheș M
8 A. Șut M
11 D. Miculescu M
7 F. Tănase M
31 J. Cisotti M
9 D. Bîrligea F
Bench (10)
77 A. Gheorghiță
42 B. Alhassan
18 M. Edjouma
25 A. Băluță
1 M. Udrea
5 J. Dawa
29 A. Musi
22 M. Toma
38 L. Zima
15 M. Ștefănescu

Coach: I. Charalampous

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
19 Jonny D
16 T. Kędziora D
5 G. Michailidis D
21 A. Baba D
82 S. Meïté M
27 M. Ozdoev M
14 A. Živković M
80 D. Pelkas M
7 G. Konstantelias M
70 M. Samatta F
Bench (10)
2 Mady Camara
9 F. Chalov
77 K. Despodov
22 S. Schwab
71 Brandon Thomas
15 O. Colley
99 A. Tsiftsis
25 K. Thymianis
54 K. Balomenos
23 Joan Sastre

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Jug · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.