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Europa League
Referee: J Brisard
Sparta Praha
T U U T S
3–2
Full-time
Aris
T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Praha Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
This season — Europa League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,5
5,5
Scored
2,5
3,5
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,66 xG 1,04
58% Possession 42%
20 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sparta Praha Aris
Ladislav Krejčí 🟨
9′
11′
⚽ A. Kokorin 0–1
1–1 L. Krejčí ⚽
K. Kairinen
20′
2–1 L. Krejčí ⚽
25′
L. Sadílek 🔁
↦ K. Kairinen
31′
Half-time 2–1
A. Karabec 🔁
↦ J. Kuchta
65′
V. Birmančević 🔁
↦ L. Haraslín
65′
66′
🔁 S. Babicka
↦ Y. Gomis
66′
🔁 M. Brown
↦ J. Szöke
3–1 M. Vitík ⚽
V. Olatunji
67′
Asger Sørensen 🟨
69′
69′
🟨 Aleksandr Kokorin
75′
🔁 M. Stępiński
↦ A. Kokorin
V. Sejk 🔁
↦ V. Olatunji
78′
D. Pavelka 🔁
↦ Q. Laçi
78′
85′
🔁 A. Moucketou-Moussounda
↦ M. Mayambela
85′
🔁 J. Montnor
↦ L. Bengtsson
David Pavelka 🟨
87′
90′
⚽ S. Babicka 3–2
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Sparta Praha

3-4-2-1
1 P. Vindahl G
41 M. Vitík D
25 A. Sørensen D
37 L. Krejčí D
2 Á. Preciado M
20 Q. Laçi M
6 K. Kairinen M
30 J. Zelený M
9 J. Kuchta F
22 L. Haraslín F
7 V. Olatunji F
Bench (12)
18 L. Sadílek
10 A. Karabec
14 V. Birmančević
39 V. Sejk
8 D. Pavelka
21 J. Pešek
26 P. Vydra
32 M. Ryneš
27 F. Panák
24 V. Vorel
5 J. Gomez
19 J. Mejdr

Coach: B. Priske

Aris

4-2-3-1
1 Vaná G
6 E. Boakye D
31 F. Brorsson D
72 S. Urošević D
3 Caju D
37 J. Szöke M
23 K. Struski M
21 M. Mayambela M
9 A. Kokorin M
7 L. Bengtsson M
14 Y. Gomis F
Bench (10)
80 S. Babicka
8 M. Brown
11 M. Stępiński
5 A. Moucketou-Moussounda
66 J. Montnor
90 E. Sofroniou
12 A. Dimitriou
20 S. Yago
78 K. Chrysostomou
10 M. Špoljarić

Coach: A. Shpilevskiy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.