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Europa League
Referee: R Reinshreiber
Atalanta
S S T S T
2–0
Full-time
Rakow
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atalanta Rakow
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
83%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
4,2
1,5
Scored
2,5
1,2
Conceded
1,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,93 xG 0,78
59% Possession 41%
29 Shots 3
10 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
11 Corners 0
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Atalanta Rakow
Marten de Roon 🟨
32′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 C. De Ketelaere ⚽
D. Zappacosta
49′
61′
🔁 M. Cebula
↦ V. Kocherhin
61′
🔁 S. Kittel
↦ J. Yeboah
Éderson 🔁
↦ M. de Roon
62′
Aleksey Miranchuk 🔁
↦ L. Muriel
62′
2–0 Éderson ⚽
M. Ruggeri
66′
70′
🔁 A. Crnac
↦ Ł. Zwoliński
71′
🔁 B. Lederman
↦ G. Berggren
M. Pašalić 🔁
↦ A. Lookman
76′
E. Holm 🔁
↦ D. Zappacosta
76′
78′
🔁 Jean Carlos
↦ S. Plavšić
M. Bakker 🔁
↦ C. De Ketelaere
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Atalanta

3-4-2-1
1 J. Musso G
2 R. Tolói D
19 B. Djimsiti D
42 G. Scalvini D
77 D. Zappacosta M
15 M. de Roon M
7 T. Koopmeiners M
22 M. Ruggeri M
17 C. De Ketelaere F
11 A. Lookman F
9 L. Muriel F
Bench (12)
13 Éderson
59 Aleksey Miranchuk
8 M. Pašalić
3 E. Holm
20 M. Bakker
25 M. Adopo
33 H. Hateboer
31 F. Rossi
29 M. Carnesecchi
23 S. Kolašinac
6 J. Palomino
21 N. Zortea

Coach: G. Gasperini

Rakow

3-4-3
1 V. Kovačević G
25 B. Racovițan D
15 A. Kovačević D
3 M. Rundić D
22 D. Sorescu M
5 G. Berggren M
66 G. Papanikolaou M
14 S. Plavšić M
11 J. Yeboah F
9 Ł. Zwoliński F
30 V. Kocherhin F
Bench (8)
77 M. Cebula
93 S. Kittel
19 A. Crnac
8 B. Lederman
20 Jean Carlos
12 A. Tsiftsis
99 F. Piasecki
27 B. Nowak

Coach: D. Szwarga

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Reinshreiber · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.