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Referee: I Pajač
SK Rapid
S U T S S
1–0
Full-time
Fiorentina
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Fiorentina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
17%
100%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
0,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
4 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 6
5 Offside 3
19 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

SK Rapid Fiorentina
33′
🟨 Rolando Mandragora
1–0 M. Grüll ⚽
34′
42′
🟨 Giacomo Bonaventura
Half-time 1–0
Maximilian Hofmann 🟨
53′
57′
🔁 R. Sottil
↦ J. Brekalo
N. Kühn 🔁
↦ M. Oswald
71′
71′
🔁 G. Infantino
↦ G. Bonaventura
81′
🔁 A. Duncan
↦ R. Mandragora
81′
🔁 L. Beltrán
↦ MBala Nzola
81′
🔁 L. Martínez
↦ L. Ranieri
A. Bajić 🔁
↦ M. Grüll
82′
Thorsten Schick 🟨
90′
M. Moormann 🔁
↦ J. Auer
92′
P. Greil 🔁
↦ M. Seidl
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1
45 N. Hedl G
13 T. Schick D
43 L. Querfeld D
20 M. Hofmann D
23 J. Auer D
34 N. Sattlberger M
5 R. Kerschbaum M
28 M. Oswald M
18 M. Seidl M
27 M. Grüll M
9 G. Burgstaller F
Bench (12)
10 N. Kühn
29 A. Bajić
26 M. Moormann
4 P. Greil
21 B. Unger
25 P. Gartler
19 M. Sollbauer
24 D. Kaygin
7 O. Strunz
17 F. Mayulu
30 N. Bajlicz
22 M. Koscelník

Coach: Z. Barišić

Fiorentina

4-2-3-1
1 P. Terracciano G
2 Dodô D
4 N. Milenković D
16 L. Ranieri D
3 C. Biraghi D
6 Arthur M
38 R. Mandragora M
10 N. González M
5 G. Bonaventura M
77 J. Brekalo M
18 M'Bala Nzola F
Bench (12)
7 R. Sottil
19 G. Infantino
32 A. Duncan
9 L. Beltrán
28 L. Martínez
37 P. Comuzzo
73 L. Amatucci
91 A. Kokorin
99 C. Kouamé
65 F. Parisi
53 O. Christensen
26 Y. Mina

Coach: V. Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Pajač · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.