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Conference League
Referee: António Nobre
Genk
U T T U U
2–1
Full-time
Ad. Demirspor
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Ad. Demirspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
22 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 5
9 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Genk Ad. Demirspor
23′
🟨 Andreaw Gravillon
Mark McKenzie 🟨
24′
39′
🔁 A. Dursun
↦ Kévin Rodrigues
Half-time 0–1
47′
⚽ E. Akbaba 0–1
50′
🟨 Younès Belhanda
Daniel Muñoz 🟨
60′
C. Bonsu Baah 🔁
↦ L. Oyen
66′
T. Arokodare 🔁
↦ Y. Sor
71′
1–1 T. Arokodare ⚽
77′
78′
🔁 B. Ndiaye
↦ Y. Belhanda
78′
🔁 Y. Erdoğan
↦ Nani
88′
🔁 M. Niang
↦ C. Ndiaye
2–1 D. Muñoz ⚽
93′
Christopher Baah 🟨
96′
101′
🟨 Badou Ndiaye
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Genk

4-4-1-1
26 M. Vandevoordt G
23 D. Muñoz D
3 Mujaid Sadick D
2 M. McKenzie D
18 J. Kayembe D
7 A. Fadera M
25 M. Galarza M
17 P. Hrošovský M
24 L. Oyen M
34 B. El Khannouss F
14 Y. Sor F
Bench (10)
90 C. Bonsu Baah
99 T. Arokodare
1 H. Van Crombrugge
4 A. Ouattara
70 I. Bangoura
19 A. Ait El Hadj
77 A. Preciado
72 J. Kongolo
5 G. Arteaga
30 V. Chambaere

Coach: W. Vrancken

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-3-1
18 G. Karačić G
22 J. Svensson D
5 A. Gravillon D
4 S. Güler D
77 Kévin Rodrigues D
90 B. Stambouli M
8 E. Akbaba M
7 Y. Sarı M
10 Y. Belhanda M
30 Nani M
99 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (10)
3 A. Dursun
17 B. Ndiaye
32 Y. Erdoğan
9 M. Niang
6 T. Aydoğan
11 D. Akintola
15 J. Manev
26 D. Toköz
2 İ. Çokçalış
25 E. Özbir

Coach: P. Kluivert

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

António Nobre · 138 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.