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Referee: P Raczkowski
Dinamo Zagreb
S T U S T
5–1
Full-time
FC Astana
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dinamo Zagreb FC Astana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,30 xG 1,03
67% Possession 33%
15 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Dinamo Zagreb FC Astana
Robert Ljubičić ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
41′
42′
🟨 Stjepan Lončar
42′
🟨 Dembo Darboe
1–0 B. Petković
43′
45′
🔁 V. Haroyan
↦ A. Beisebekov
Half-time 1–0
48′
🟨 Aleksa Amanović
52′
🟨 Varazdat Haroyan
2–0 B. Petković
53′
3–0 M. Bulat
58′
62′
🔁 I. Kuat
↦ S. Lončar
62′
🔁 T. Dosmagambetov
↦ Y. Vorogovskiy
L. Menalo 🔁
↦ M. Emreli
65′
T. Halilović 🔁
↦ M. Bulat
65′
Boško Šutalo 🟨
70′
S. Kulenović 🔁
↦ B. Petković
73′
A. Marin 🔁
↦ G. Vidović
74′
78′
K. Hovhannisyan 3–1
M. Tomasov
B. Mykhailichenko 🔁
↦ R. Ljubičić
83′
84′
🔁 D. Jovančić
↦ F. Ourega
84′
🔁 A. Aymbetov
↦ D. Darboe
4–1 A. Marin
B. Mykhailichenko
85′
5–1 T. Halilović
B. Mykhailichenko
93′
Full-time 5–1

Line-ups

Dinamo Zagreb

4-2-3-1
33 I. Nevistić G
2 S. Moharrami D
4 B. Šutalo D
55 D. Perić D
14 R. Ljubičić D
31 M. Bulat M
27 J. Mišić M
11 M. Emreli M
10 M. Baturina M
72 G. Vidović M
9 B. Petković F
Bench (12)
70 L. Menalo
23 T. Halilović
17 S. Kulenović
20 A. Marin
15 B. Mykhailichenko
1 D. Zagorac
39 M. Perković
41 G. Rukavina
3 J. Sosa
6 M. Bernauer
18 J. Drmić
25 P. Sučić

Coach: S. Jakirović

FC Astana

3-4-1-2
93 J. Čondrić G
15 A. Beisebekov D
33 Ž. Tomašević D
45 A. Amanović D
13 K. Hovhannisyan M
7 M. Ebong M
44 S. Lončar M
6 Y. Vorogovskiy M
23 F. Ourega F
10 M. Tomasov F
88 D. Darboe F
Bench (12)
3 V. Haroyan
8 I. Kuat
27 T. Dosmagambetov
29 D. Jovančić
17 A. Aymbetov
31 D. Podymskiy
11 A. Darabayev
72 S. Basmanov
97 N. Zhaksylyk
20 V. Prokopenko
21 E. Astanov
55 A. Zarutskiy

Coach: G. Babayan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Raczkowski · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.