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Europa League
Referee: Jasper Vergoote
Leverkusen
U S T S U
2–0
Full-time
Celje
U T S U T
⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Celje
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,93 xG 0,90
56% Possession 44%
17 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 10
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Leverkusen Celje
0–1 S. Seslar ⚽
own goal
15′
Half-time 0–1
J. Quansah 🔁
↦ Lucas
60′
A. Moreira 🔁
↦ M. Terrier
61′
E. Fernandez 🔁
↦ M. Tillman
61′
61′
🔁 B. Kramer
↦ A. Kucys
61′
🔁 M. Ivansek
↦ Y. Dukuly
69′
🔁 V. Tusha
↦ B. Verbic
C. Kofane 🔁
↦ P. Schick
71′
1–1 F. Medina ⚽
A. Garcia
74′
E. Ben Seghir 🔁
↦ M. Diaby
80′
80′
🔁 P. Daniel
↦ L. Ticic
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
1 Mark Flekken G
17 Lucas Vázquez D
5 Loïc Badé D
12 Edmond Tapsoba D
2 Facundo Medina D
8 Robert Andrich M
24 Aleix García M
19 Moussa Diaby M
10 Malik Tillman M
11 Martin Terrier M
14 Patrik Schick F
Bench (8)
28 Janis Blaswich
36 Niklas Lomb
3 Miguel Gutiérrez
4 Jarell Quansah
6 Ezequiel Fernández
9 Afonso Moreira
29 Eliesse Ben Seghir
35 Christian Kofane

Coach: Carles Martinez

Celje

3-5-2
1 Žan-Luk Leban G
2 Pijus Širvys D
44 Łukasz Bejger D
6 Artemijus Tutyškinas D
11 Milot Avdyli M
19 Mark Zabukovnik M
10 Svit Sešlar M
14 Luka Tičić M
7 Benjamin Verbič M
91 Yaya Dukuly F
47 Armandas Kučys F
Bench (11)
12 Luka Kolar
23 Žiga Frelih
20 Alpha Diounkou
33 Leonardo Koutris
4 Darko Hrka
8 Mario Kvesić
13 Papa Daniel
25 Veton Tusha
77 Matic Ivanšek
9 Blaž Kramer
31 Dejan Suhovrsnik

Coach: Vitor Campelos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,08
🔒
U
13,00
🔒
B
26,00
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,04
🔒
U1,5
9,25
🔒
O2,5
1,17
🔒
U2,5 ✓
4,50
🔒
O3,5
1,50
🔒
U3,5 ✓
2,57
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
2,05
🔒
BLS nei ✓
1,70
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jasper Vergoote · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.