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Europa League
Referee: Morten Krogh
Plzen
S U S S U
0–0
Full-time
Freiburg
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Plzen Freiburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
2,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,29 xG 0,87
50% Possession 50%
19 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Plzen Freiburg
Sampson Dweh 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–0
T. Ladra 🔁
↦ M. Vydra
46′
46′
🔁 I. Matanovic
↦ J. Adamu
61′
🔁 D. Scherhant
↦ V. Grifo
69′
🔁 N. Hofler
↦ M. Eggestein
69′
🔁 J. Manzambi
↦ Y. Suzuki
74′
🟨 Christian Günter
81′
🟨 Nicolas Höfler
A. Zeljkovic 🔁
↦ M. Valenta
82′
83′
🔁 P. Treu
↦ C. Gunter
D. Visinsky 🔁
↦ P. Adu
89′
Merchas Doski 🟨
91′
M. Havel 🔁
↦ C. Souare
96′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Plzen

3-4-1-2
44 F. Wiegele G
40 S. Dweh D
21 V. Jemelka D
14 M. Doski D
99 A. Memic M
32 M. Valenta M
6 L. Cerv M
80 P. Adu M
11 M. Vydra F
19 C. Souare F
17 R. Durosinmi F
Bench (9)
13 M. Tvrdon
23 M. Jedlicka
3 S. Markovic
7 C. Kabongo
9 D. Visinsky
18 T. Ladra
24 M. Havel
72 J. Bello
85 A. Zeljkovic

Coach: Miroslav Koubek

Freiburg

4-2-3-1
1 N. Atubolu G
17 L. Kubler D
28 M. Ginter D
3 P. Lienhart D
30 C. Gunter D
8 M. Eggestein M
6 P. Osterhage M
19 J. Beste M
14 Y. Suzuki M
32 V. Grifo M
20 J. Adamu F
Bench (10)
21 F. Muller
24 J. Huth
5 A. Jung
7 D. Scherhant
9 L. Holer
27 N. Hofler
29 P. Treu
31 I. Matanovic
43 B. Ogbus
44 J. Manzambi

Coach: Julian Schuster

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Morten Krogh · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.