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Europa League
Referee: Goga Kikacheishvili
Maccabi Tel Aviv
T T T T T
0–3
Full-time
Bologna
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maccabi Tel Aviv Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
3,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-2,8
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 11/7 matches
Win Ø 35%
27%
43%
Points per game
0,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
64%
57%
Both score Ø 58%
45%
71%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
2,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,86 xG 3,28
41% Possession 59%
5 Shots 24
1 Shots on target 11
1 Blocked shots 6
9 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 9
2 Offside 8
16 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Maccabi Tel Aviv Bologna
Raz Shlomo 🟨
15′
21′
ℹ️ Riccardo Orsolini
VAR: Goal cancelled
35′
⚽ J. Rowe 0–1
N. Moro
Half-time 0–2
47′
⚽ R. Orsolini 0–2
N. Zortea
T. Asante 🔁
↦ R. Shlomo
51′
H. Varela 🔁
↦ K. Andrade
51′
52′
🔁 F. Bernardeschi
↦ J. Rowe
I. Ben Simon 🔁
↦ E. Madmon
67′
70′
🔁 T. Dallinga
↦ S. Castro
70′
🔁 N. Cambiaghi
↦ R. Orsolini
77′
ℹ️ Nadir Zortea
VAR: Penalty cancelled
I. Shahar 🔁
↦ I. Ben Hamo
78′
O. Davida 🔁
↦ D. Peretz
78′
85′
🔁 T. Pobega
↦ N. Moro
85′
🔁 J. Odgaard
↦ L. Ferguson
90′
⚽ T. Pobega 0–3
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Maccabi Tel Aviv

3-4-2-1
22 O. Melika G
41 I. Ben Hamo D
13 R. Shlomo D
4 Heitor D
21 N. Ben Harush M
28 I. Sissokho M
23 B. Lederman M
3 R. Revivo M
42 D. Peretz F
10 K. Andrade F
19 E. Madmon F
Bench (12)
51 S. Saadia
90 R. Mishpati
6 T. Asante
15 Y. Malede
29 H. Varela
30 I. Noy
34 S. Abu Farhi
36 I. Shahar
52 I. Weinberg
59 L. Asres
60 I. Ben Simon
77 O. Davida

Coach: Ronny Deila

Bologna

4-3-3
1 L. Skorupski G
20 N. Zortea D
41 M. Vitik D
16 N. Casale D
33 J. Miranda D
6 N. Moro M
8 R. Freuler M
19 L. Ferguson M
7 R. Orsolini F
9 S. Castro F
11 J. Rowe F
Bench (10)
13 F. Ravaglia
25 M. Pessina
2 E. Holm
4 T. Pobega
10 F. Bernardeschi
14 T. Heggem
21 J. Odgaard
22 C. Lykogiannis
24 T. Dallinga
28 N. Cambiaghi

Coach: Vincenzo Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.