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Europa League
Referee: Jasper Vergoote
Porto
S S S U S
3–1
Full-time
Rangers
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Rangers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
83%
100%
Points per game
2,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
0,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
57%
14%
Points per game
2,0
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
43%
43%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
2,3
2,1
Scored
1,4
0,6
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

1,60 xG 0,43
41% Possession 59%
12 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Porto Rangers
6′
⚽ D. Gassama 0–1
F. Curtis
1–1 R. Mora ⚽
27′
2–1 F. Moura ⚽
36′
2–2 E. Fernandez ⚽
own goal
41′
Half-time 2–2
46′
🔁 J. Souttar
↦ J. Meghoma
50′
🟨 Max Aarons
58′
🔁 O. Antman
↦ E. Fernandez
58′
🔁 B. Miovski
↦ D. Gassama
B. Sainz 🔁
↦ William Gomes
61′
M. Fernandes 🔁
↦ A. Costa
61′
P. Rosario 🔁
↦ V. Froholdt
68′
D. Gul 🔁
↦ Samu
68′
70′
🔁 T. Aasgaard
↦ Chermiti
70′
🔁 M. Moore
↦ F. Curtis
G. Veiga 🔁
↦ R. Mora
80′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Porto

4-3-3
99 D. Costa G
20 A. Costa D
5 J. Bednarek D
4 J. Kiwior D
74 F. Moura D
8 V. Froholdt M
22 A. Varela M
86 R. Mora M
7 William Gomes F
9 Samu F
11 Pepê F
Bench (12)
14 Claudio Ramos
24 J. Costa
6 S. Eustaquio
10 G. Veiga
12 Zaidu
13 P. Rosario
17 B. Sainz
21 D. Prpic
27 D. Gul
52 M. Fernandes
72 A. Miranda
73 G. Bras

Coach: Francesco Farioli

Rangers

3-4-2-1
1 J. Butland G
2 J. Tavernier D
37 E. Fernandez D
24 N. Djiga D
3 M. Aarons M
43 N. Raskin M
10 M. Diomande M
30 J. Meghoma M
52 F. Curtis F
23 D. Gassama F
9 Chermiti F
Bench (11)
31 L. Kelly
32 K. Wright
5 J. Souttar
11 T. Aasgaard
18 O. Antman
28 B. Miovski
47 M. Moore
50 J. Gentles
56 A. Kerr
61 L. Stewart
62 A. Smith

Coach: Danny Rohl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jasper Vergoote · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.