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Europa League
Referee: Andrea Colombo
FK Crvena Zvezda
T S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Celta
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Crvena Zvezda Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 57%
57%
57%
Points per game
1,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
14%
100%
Both score Ø 58%
29%
86%
Average goals
1,6
3,4
Scored
0,9
2,0
Conceded
0,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,01 xG 1,29
57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FK Crvena Zvezda Celta
Marko Arnautović ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
9′
Marko Arnautović ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
19′
35′
🟨 Miguel Román
Rade Krunić 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
V. Lucic 🔁
↦ V. Kostov
46′
A. Avdic 🔁
↦ N. Tiknizyan
50′
N. Radonjic 🔁
↦ A. Katai
61′
62′
🔁 F. Jutgla
↦ B. Iglesias
62′
🔁 F. Lopez
↦ I. Aspas
69′
🔁 B. Zaragoza
↦ H. Alvarez
Vladimir Lučić 🟨
73′
Milson 🔁
↦ N. Stankovic
79′
Bruno Duarte 🔁
↦ M. Arnautovic
79′
82′
🔁 O. Mingueza
↦ J. Rueda
82′
🔁 M. Ristic
↦ Y. Lago
88′
⚽ F. Lopez 0–1
1–1 Bruno Duarte ⚽
T. Elsnik
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda

4-2-3-1
1 Matheus G
66 Seol Young-Woo D
13 M. Veljkovic D
5 Rodrigo D
23 N. Tiknizyan D
33 R. Krunic M
21 T. Elsnik M
24 N. Stankovic M
22 V. Kostov M
10 A. Katai M
89 M. Arnautovic F
Bench (12)
18 O. Glazer
77 I. Gutesa
6 M. Bajo
7 Milson
17 Bruno Duarte
20 T. Handel
25 S. Lekovic
37 V. Lucic
40 L. Zaric
45 S. Gudelj
49 N. Radonjic
71 A. Avdic

Coach: Dejan Stankovic

Celta

3-4-2-1
13 I. Radu G
32 J. Rodriguez D
29 Y. Lago D
20 M. Alonso D
17 J. Rueda M
16 M. Roman M
6 I. Moriba M
5 S. Carreira M
10 I. Aspas F
23 H. Alvarez F
7 B. Iglesias F
Bench (12)
1 I. Villar
3 O. Mingueza
9 F. Jutgla
11 F. Cervi
15 B. Zaragoza
18 P. Duran
21 M. Ristic
24 C. Dominguez
30 F. Lopez
31 H. Burcio
36 A. Antanon
39 J. El Abdellaoui

Coach: Claudio Giraldez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Andrea Colombo · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.