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Europa League
Referee: Anastasios Papapetrou
Salzburg
T U S T S
3–1
Full-time
Basel
T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Salzburg Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

1,63 xG 0,37
61% Possession 39%
21 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Salzburg Basel
1–0 K. Alajbegovic ⚽
4′
2–0 K. Alajbegovic ⚽
S. Diabate
12′
3–0 F. Kratzig ⚽
35′
37′
🟨 Jeremy Agbonifo
40′
🟨 Andrej Bačanin
Sota Kitano 🟨
45′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 K. Koindredi
↦ X. Shaqiri
46′
🔁 A. Ajeti
↦ B. Traore
46′
🔁 D. Kacuri
↦ L. Leroy
50′
🟨 Nicolas Vouilloz
56′
⚽ J. Agbonifo 3–1
F. Daniliuc
K. Onisiwo 🔁
↦ Y. Vertessen
58′
72′
🔁 M. Soticek
↦ Kaio Eduardo
M. K. Yeo 🔁
↦ S. Kitano
76′
90′
🔁 M. Cisse
↦ D. Schmid
C. Bischoff 🔁
↦ K. Alajbegovic
91′
K. Konate 🔁
↦ E. Baidoo
91′
O. Lukic 🔁
↦ M. Bidstrup
91′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Salzburg

4-3-3
1 A. Schlager G
37 T. Trummer D
23 J. Gadou D
44 J. Schuster D
13 F. Kratzig D
18 M. Bidstrup M
8 S. Kitano M
5 S. Diabate M
20 E. Baidoo F
11 Y. Vertessen F
27 K. Alajbegovic F
Bench (12)
52 C. Zawieschitzky
2 J. Rasmussen
3 A. Terzic
7 C. Bischoff
9 K. Onisiwo
14 M. Kjaergaard
15 M. Diambou
19 K. Konate
22 S. Lainer
25 O. Lukic
43 E. Aguilar
49 M. K. Yeo

Coach: Daniel Beichler

Basel

4-2-3-1
1 M. Hitz G
3 N. Vouilloz D
32 J. Adjetey D
24 F. Daniliuc D
31 D. Schmid D
14 A. Bacanin M
22 L. Leroy M
9 J. Agbonifo M
10 X. Shaqiri M
11 B. Traore M
46 Kaio Eduardo F
Bench (12)
13 M. Salvi
47 T. Pfeiffer
7 P. Otele
8 K. Koindredi
19 M. Soticek
23 A. Ajeti
27 K. Ruegg
28 D. Kacuri
29 M. Cisse
39 Junior Ze
40 A. Rexhaj
43 M. Akahomen

Coach: Stephan Lichtsteiner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Anastasios Papapetrou · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.