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Europa League
Referee: Sebastian Gishamer
Nott'm Forest
S U U T S
4–0
Full-time
Ferencvarosi TC
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nott'm Forest Ferencvarosi TC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 50%
43%
57%
Points per game
1,6
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
57%
43%
Both score Ø 65%
43%
86%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,88 xG 0,65
55% Possession 45%
20 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Nott'm Forest Ferencvarosi TC
0–1 B. Otvos ⚽
own goal
17′
1–1 Igor Jesus ⚽
R. Yates
21′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 L. Joseph
↦ J. Levi
2–1 Igor Jesus ⚽
I. Sangare
55′
C. Hudson-Odoi 🔁
↦ Igor Jesus
66′
M. Gibbs-White 🔁
↦ I. Sangare
66′
O. Aina 🔁
↦ N. Williams
66′
73′
🔁 N. Keita
↦ G. Kanichowsky
73′
🔁 Z. Gruber
↦ Dele
Nicolás Domínguez 🟨
76′
Murillo 🔁
↦ N. Milenkovic
78′
D. Bakwa 🔁
↦ N. Dominguez
84′
84′
🔁 A. Madarasz
↦ K. Zachariassen
88′
🟨 Bence Ötvös
90′
🔁 B. J. Golik
↦ J. Romao
3–1 J. McAtee ⚽
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Nott'm Forest

4-2-3-1
26 M. Sels G
44 Z. Abbott D
31 N. Milenkovic D
4 Morato D
3 N. Williams D
22 R. Yates M
6 I. Sangare M
24 J. McAtee M
16 N. Dominguez M
14 D. Ndoye M
19 Igor Jesus F
Bench (11)
18 A. Gunn
67 K. Willows
5 Murillo
7 C. Hudson-Odoi
10 M. Gibbs-White
29 D. Bakwa
34 O. Aina
51 A. Whitehall
58 J. Thompson
61 J. Sinclair
64 B. Hammond

Coach: Vitor Pereira

Ferencvarosi TC

3-4-2-1
99 D. Grof G
23 B. Otvos D
27 I. Cisse D
22 G. Szalai D
25 C. Makreckis M
66 J. Romao M
36 G. Kanichowsky M
20 Cadu M
10 J. Levi F
16 K. Zachariassen F
11 Dele F
Bench (9)
1 A. Varga
82 Z. Toth
5 N. Keita
30 Z. Gruber
62 B. J. Golik
71 C. Lakatos
72 A. Madarasz
75 L. Joseph
77 B. Nagy

Coach: Robbie Keane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.