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Super League

Referee: L Piccolo

Luzern

T U T T T

1–2

Full-time

Basel

T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Basel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

4,3

1,8

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

2,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 36%

24%

47%

Points per game

1,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

76%

59%

Both score Ø 65%

76%

53%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

22 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 6

9 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

11 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 10

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luzern 10. · Basel 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	18	12	1	5	+14	-0.0	37
2	St. Gallen	18	11	1	6	+15	+4.2	34
3	Young Boys	17	8	5	4	+7	+0.6	29
4	Basel	17	8	4	5	+7	+13.2	28
5	Sion	18	7	6	5	+4	+3.4	27
6	Lugano	17	8	3	6	+1	-0.5	27
7	Zurich	17	7	3	7	-4	+3.4	24
8	Lausanne	17	5	6	6	+4	+4.6	21
9	Servette	17	5	4	8	-6	+1.3	19
10	Luzern	17	4	6	7	-3	-3.0	18
11	Grasshoppers	17	3	5	9	-12	-12.4	14
12	Winterthur	18	2	4	12	-27	-14.8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gallen	10	6	0	4	+9	+6.6	18
2	Young Boys	8	5	2	1	+12	+7.3	17
3	Lugano	9	5	2	2	+5	+1.6	17
4	Thun	9	5	1	3	+5	-2.3	16
5	Lausanne	9	4	2	3	+7	+7.5	14
6	Basel	8	4	2	2	+7	+14.8	14
7	Sion	9	4	2	3	+4	+0.3	14
8	Zurich	9	4	1	4	-2	+3.9	13
9	Grasshoppers	8	2	3	3	+2	-4.0	9
10	Servette	8	2	3	3	-2	+0.8	9
11	Luzern	8	1	4	3	+2	+2.6	7
12	Winterthur	9	1	2	6	-8	-3.6	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	9	7	0	2	+9	+2.3	21
2	St. Gallen	8	5	1	2	+6	-2.3	16
3	Basel	9	4	2	3	+0	-1.7	14
4	Sion	9	3	4	2	+0	+3.1	13
5	Young Boys	9	3	3	3	-5	-6.7	12
6	Zurich	8	3	2	3	-2	-0.5	11
7	Luzern	9	3	2	4	-5	-5.6	11
8	Servette	9	3	1	5	-4	+0.5	10
9	Lugano	8	3	1	4	-4	-2.1	10
10	Lausanne	8	1	4	3	-3	-2.9	7
11	Grasshoppers	9	1	2	6	-14	-8.3	5
12	Winterthur	9	1	2	6	-19	-11.2	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.