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Conference League
Referee: J Alberola
Strasbourg
S T S S T
2–1
Full-time
Crystal Palace
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strasbourg Crystal Palace
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
60%
60%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
60%
20%
Both score Ø 50%
80%
20%
Average goals
2,6
1,6
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,0
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,37 xG 2,08
60% Possession 40%
13 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
5 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Strasbourg Crystal Palace
31′
🔁 A. Wharton
↦ W. Hughes
35′
⚽ T. Mitchell 0–1
J. Mateta
B. Chilwell 🔁
↦ L. Hogsberg
43′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 C. Richards
↦ M. Guehi
1–1 E. Emegha ⚽
D. Moreira
53′
62′
🔁 E. Nketiah
↦ J. Mateta
67′
🟨 Maxence Lacroix
Samir El Mourabet 🟨
73′
J. Panichelli 🔁
↦ E. Emegha
74′
K. Paez 🔁
↦ S. Nanasi
74′
2–1 S. El Mourabet ⚽
J. Enciso
77′
82′
🔁 D. Kamada
↦ J. Lerma
86′
🟨 Jaydee Canvot
A. Omobamidele 🔁
↦ J. Enciso
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Strasbourg

3-4-2-1
39 M. Penders G
24 L. Hogsberg D
23 M. Sarr D
6 I. Doukoure D
22 G. Doue M
32 V. Barco M
29 S. El Mourabet M
7 D. Moreira M
19 J. Enciso F
11 S. Nanasi F
10 E. Emegha F
Bench (12)
50 S. Bajic
60 G. Kerckaert
2 A. Omobamidele
3 B. Chilwell
9 J. Panichelli
16 K. Paez
17 M. Amougou
20 M. Godo
27 S. Amo-Ameyaw
41 R. Nzingoula
80 F. Lemarechal
83 R. Luis

Coach: Gary O'Neil

Crystal Palace

3-4-3
1 D. Henderson G
23 J. Canvot D
5 M. Lacroix D
6 M. Guehi D
2 D. Munoz M
19 W. Hughes M
8 J. Lerma M
3 T. Mitchell M
7 I. Sarr F
14 J. Mateta F
10 Y. Pino F
Bench (11)
31 R. Matthews
44 W. Benitez
9 E. Nketiah
12 C. Uche
17 N. Clyne
18 D. Kamada
20 A. Wharton
21 R. Esse
26 C. Richards
55 J. Devenny
59 R. Cardines

Coach: Oliver Glasner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Alberola · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.