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Conference League
Referee: G Nuza
Sigma Olomouc
T T T U S
2–1
Full-time
Celje
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sigma Olomouc Celje
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 52%
20%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
40%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
40%
50%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
0,6
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/7 matches
Win Ø 60%
33%
86%
Points per game
1,3
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
33%
57%
Both score Ø 55%
67%
43%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,0
2,4
Conceded
1,3
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,74 xG 1,73
31% Possession 69%
21 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
28 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sigma Olomouc Celje
1–0 A. Ghali ⚽
M. Hadas
8′
13′
🟨 Vitaliy Lisakovich
18′
🟨 Darko Hrka
27′
🔁 I. Vidovic
↦ V. Lisakovich
29′
⚽ I. Vidovic 1–1
D. Sturm
2–1 A. Ghali ⚽
J. Sip
42′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 P. Daniel
↦ D. Hrka
46′
🔁 A. Kotnik
↦ F. Kovacevic
A. Dolznikov 🔁
↦ A. Ghali
58′
T. Kostadinov 🔁
↦ S. Langer
68′
J. Navratil 🔁
↦ J. Sip
68′
75′
🔁 F. Jevsenak
↦
75′
🔁 M. Avdyli
↦ M. Kvesic
Michal Beran 🟨
79′
Radim Breite 🟨
84′
J. Spacil 🔁
↦ R. Breite
87′
M. Tijani 🔁
↦ D. Vasulin
87′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sigma Olomouc

4-2-3-1
91 J. Koutny G
22 M. Hadas D
2 A. Sylla D
5 T. Huk D
16 F. Slavicek D
7 R. Breite M
47 M. Beran M
70 A. Ghali M
37 S. Langer M
6 J. Sip M
15 D. Vasulin F
Bench (12)
98 M. Hruska
8 J. Spacil
10 T. Kostadinov
23 A. Dumitrescu
25 M. Mikulenka
26 M. Tijani
30 J. Navratil
33 M. Maly
35 M. Yasser
39 D. Janosek
75 S. Michez
77 A. Dolznikov

Coach: Tomas Janotka

Celje

3-4-3
1 Z. Leban G
2 Juanjo Nieto D
44 L. Bejger D
6 A. Tutyskinas D
71 V. Lisakovich M
4 D. Hrka M
23 Z. Karnicnik M
8 M. Kvesic M
20 N. Iosifov F
9 F. Kovacevic F
10 D. Sturm F
Bench (12)
12 L. Kolar
25 T. Zorko
3 D. Vuklisevic
5 G. Vodeb
7 F. Jevsenak
11 M. Avdyli
13 P. Daniel
15 D. Castro
16 I. Vidovic
17 A. Kotnik
94 R. Pozeg
99 M. Poplatnik

Coach: Vitor Campelos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Nuza · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.