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Europa League
Referee: Matej Jug
Porto
S S U S S
3–0
Full-time
Nice
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Nice
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
25%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,0
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,47 xG 0,95
56% Possession 44%
6 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Porto Nice
1–0 G. Veiga ⚽
Pepe
1′
2–0 G. Veiga ⚽
V. Froholdt
33′
Half-time 2–0
J. Bednarek 🔁
↦ A. Varela
46′
52′
🟨 Charles Vanhoutte
Samu Aghehowa ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
58′
3–0 Samu ⚽
61′
B. Sainz 🔁
↦ D. Gul
67′
68′
🔁 H. Boudaoui
↦ S. Diop
68′
🔁 I. Jansson
↦ M. Cho
68′
🔁 Kevin
↦ T. Moffi
L. de Jong 🔁
↦ Samu
73′
R. Mora 🔁
↦ V. Froholdt
73′
Jan Bednarek 🟨
77′
78′
🟨 Antoine Mendy
79′
🔁 K. Peprah
↦ Dante
79′
🔁 T. Gouveia
↦ J. Clauss
S. Eustaquio 🔁
↦ G. Veiga
80′
Borja Sainz 🟨
93′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Porto

4-3-3
99 D. Costa G
20 A. Costa D
13 P. Rosario D
4 J. Kiwior D
74 F. Moura D
8 V. Froholdt M
22 A. Varela M
10 G. Veiga M
11 Pepê F
9 Samu F
27 D. Gul F
Bench (12)
14 Claudio Ramos
24 J. Costa
5 J. Bednarek
6 S. Eustaquio
7 William Gomes
12 Zaidu
17 B. Sainz
21 D. Prpic
25 T. Perez
26 L. de Jong
52 M. Fernandes
86 R. Mora

Coach: Francesco Farioli

Nice

3-5-2
80 Y. Diouf G
33 A. Mendy D
4 Dante D
26 M. Bard D
92 J. Clauss M
8 M. Sanson M
24 C. Vanhoutte M
10 S. Diop M
2 A. Abdi M
25 M. Cho F
9 T. Moffi F
Bench (12)
30 B. Zelazowski
31 M. Dupe
6 H. Boudaoui
7 J. Boga
20 T. Louchet
21 I. Jansson
22 T. Ndombele
28 J. Bah
37 K. Peprah
47 T. Gouveia
90 Kevin
99 S. Abdul Samed

Coach: Claude Puel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.