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Europa League
Referee: Nick Walsh
Stuttgart
T U S T S
2–1
Full-time
Celta
U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,54 xG 0,53
59% Possession 41%
19 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Stuttgart Celta
L. Jaquez 🔁
↦ F. Jeltsch
25′
Ermedin Demirović 🟨
35′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 B. Bouanani ⚽
A. Nubel
51′
52′
🔁 B. Iglesias
↦ F. Jutgla
61′
🔁 B. Zaragoza
↦ P. Duran
61′
🔁 J. Rueda
↦ J. El Abdellaoui
61′
🔁 W. Swedberg
↦ I. Aspas
63′
🟨 Williot Swedberg
2–0 B. El Khannouss ⚽
A. Stiller
68′
T. Tomas 🔁
↦ B. El Khannouss
70′
A. Karazor 🔁
↦ C. Andres
70′
J. Vagnoman 🔁
↦ J. Leweling
80′
C. Fuhrich 🔁
↦ B. Bouanani
80′
83′
🔁 H. Sotelo
↦ F. Beltran
Lorenz Assignon 🟨
85′
86′
⚽ B. Iglesias 2–1
I. Moriba
95′
🟨 Ilaix Moriba
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Stuttgart

4-2-3-1
33 A. Nubel G
22 L. Assignon D
29 F. Jeltsch D
3 R. Hendriks D
7 M. Mittelstadt D
30 C. Andres M
6 A. Stiller M
27 B. Bouanani M
11 B. El Khannouss M
18 J. Leweling M
9 E. Demirovic F
Bench (10)
1 F. Bredlow
4 J. Vagnoman
8 T. Tomas
10 C. Fuhrich
14 L. Jaquez
16 A. Karazor
23 D. Zagadou
24 J. Chabot
35 M. Catovic
45 L. Jovanovic

Coach: Sebastian Hoeneß

Celta

3-4-3
13 I. Radu G
32 J. Rodriguez D
2 C. Starfelt D
20 M. Alonso D
39 J. El Abdellaoui M
8 F. Beltran M
6 I. Moriba M
3 O. Mingueza M
10 I. Aspas F
9 F. Jutgla F
18 P. Duran F
Bench (12)
1 I. Villar
7 B. Iglesias
12 M. Fernandez
14 D. Rodriguez
15 B. Zaragoza
16 M. Roman
17 J. Rueda
19 W. Swedberg
22 H. Sotelo
23 H. Alvarez
24 C. Dominguez
29 Y. Lago

Coach: Claudio Giráldez González

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.