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Europa League
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano
Aston Villa
T T U U U
1–0
Full-time
Bologna
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aston Villa Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,3
2,5
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,24 xG 1,10
47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 3
2 Offside 9
16 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Oct -24 Aston Villa – Bologna 2–0

Match report

Aston Villa Bologna
1–0 J. McGinn
13′
Matty Cash 🟨
42′
Half-time 1–0
O. Watkins 🔁
↦ D. Malen
58′
J. Sancho 🔁
↦ E. Buendia
58′
66′
🟨 Jhon Lucumí
66′
🟨 Martin Vitík
70′
🔁 E. Holm
↦ N. Zortea
70′
🔁 R. Orsolini
↦ F. Bernardeschi
70′
🔁 J. Rowe
↦ N. Cambiaghi
John McGinn 🟨
71′
L. Digne 🔁
↦ I. Maatsen
74′
83′
🔁 T. Dallinga
↦ S. Castro
83′
🔁 G. Fabbian
↦ J. Odgaard
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Aston Villa

4-2-3-1
40 M. Bizot G
2 M. Cash D
4 E. Konsa D
14 P. Torres D
22 I. Maatsen D
7 J. McGinn M
44 B. Kamara M
29 E. Guessand M
27 M. Rogers M
10 E. Buendia M
17 D. Malen F
Bench (11)
52 S. Proctor
95 R. Oakley
3 V. Lindelof
5 T. Mings
9 H. Elliott
11 O. Watkins
12 L. Digne
16 A. Garcia
19 J. Sancho
26 L. Bogarde
83 B. Burrowes

Coach: Unai Emery Etxegoien

Bologna

4-4-2
1 L. Skorupski G
20 N. Zortea D
41 M. Vitik D
26 J. Lucumi D
22 C. Lykogiannis D
10 F. Bernardeschi M
19 L. Ferguson M
8 R. Freuler M
28 N. Cambiaghi M
9 S. Castro F
21 J. Odgaard F
Bench (10)
13 F. Ravaglia
25 M. Pessina
2 E. Holm
6 N. Moro
7 R. Orsolini
11 J. Rowe
14 T. Heggem
24 T. Dallinga
33 J. Miranda
80 G. Fabbian

Coach: Vincenzo Italiano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jesus Gil Manzano · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.