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League Cup

Referee: A Madley

Liverpool

S S T S S

5–1

Full-time

West Ham

S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Liverpool West Ham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

2,2

1,0

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

61% Possession 39%

21 Shots 12

11 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield Weds	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Stoke	3	2	1	0	+7	7
3	Preston	3	2	1	0	+7	7
4	Fleetwood Town	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Watford	3	2	0	1	+6	6
6	Brighton	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Crystal Palace	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	Blackpool	3	2	0	1	+4	6
9	Brentford	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Leyton Orient	3	2	0	1	+2	6
11	Wycombe	3	2	0	1	+2	6
12	Coventry	3	2	0	1	+1	6
13	Walsall	3	1	2	0	+1	5
14	Leicester	2	1	1	0	+4	4
15	Everton	2	1	1	0	+3	4
16	Southampton	2	1	1	0	+2	4
17	Fulham	2	1	1	0	+2	4
18	AFC Wimbledon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
19	Derby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
20	QPR	3	1	1	1	+0	4
21	Bolton	3	1	1	1	-2	4
22	Barrow	3	1	1	1	-4	4
23	Barnsley	3	1	1	1	-6	4
24	Man United	1	1	0	0	+7	3
25	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+5	3
26	Blackburn	2	1	0	1	+4	3
27	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
28	Huddersfield	2	1	0	1	+2	3
29	Sheffield United	2	1	0	1	+1	3
30	Wolves	2	1	0	1	+1	3
31	Plymouth	2	1	0	1	+1	3
32	Swansea	2	1	0	1	+1	3
33	Man City	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Oxford	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	Rotherham	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	Millwall	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	Tranmere	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Doncaster	2	1	0	1	-1	3
43	Birmingham	2	1	0	1	-1	3
44	Crawley Town	2	1	0	1	-2	3
45	Middlesbrough	2	1	0	1	-2	3
46	Norwich	2	1	0	1	-3	3
47	Harrogate Town	2	1	0	1	-4	3
48	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Nott'm Forest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Luton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Mansfield Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Exeter City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Bradford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
58	Colchester	2	0	1	1	-1	1
59	Shrewsbury	2	0	1	1	-2	1
60	Grimsby	2	0	1	1	-4	1
61	Stevenage	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Lincoln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Bromley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Cambridge United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Charlton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	Peterborough	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Salford City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Newport County	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Morecambe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	Stockport County	1	0	0	1	-5	0
91	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Watford	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Brighton	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Fleetwood Town	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Walsall	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Everton	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Preston	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Barrow	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Man United	1	1	0	0	+7	3
9	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Leicester	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Leyton Orient	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Plymouth	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Tranmere	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Crawley Town	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Wolves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Oxford	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Swansea	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Man City	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Derby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Rotherham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	West Ham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Barnsley	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Cardiff	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Coventry	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	AFC Wimbledon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Nott'm Forest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Stoke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Wigan	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Bolton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	QPR	2	0	1	1	-1	1
37	Colchester	2	0	1	1	-1	1
38	Shrewsbury	2	0	1	1	-2	1
39	Grimsby	2	0	1	1	-4	1
40	Hull	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Wycombe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Lincoln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Bromley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Cambridge United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Charlton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Millwall	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Bristol City	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Blackpool	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Portsmouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Birmingham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Northampton	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Salford City	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Carlisle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Stockport County	1	0	0	1	-5	0
58	Middlesbrough	1	0	0	1	-5	0
59	Harrogate Town	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield Weds	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Stoke	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Blackpool	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Wycombe	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Southampton	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Fulham	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Blackburn	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Preston	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Middlesbrough	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Harrogate Town	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	AFC Wimbledon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	QPR	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Birmingham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Coventry	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Millwall	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Doncaster	2	1	0	1	-1	3
21	Leyton Orient	2	1	0	1	-1	3
22	Bolton	2	1	0	1	-2	3
23	Notts County	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Reading	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Ipswich	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Fleetwood Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Luton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Mansfield Town	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Exeter City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Bradford	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Barnsley	2	0	1	1	-7	1
35	Stevenage	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Wolves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Huddersfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Port Vale	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Watford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Chesterfield	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Crewe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	West Brom	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Rotherham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Oxford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Sheffield United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Wrexham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Swindon Town	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Gillingham	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Plymouth	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Sunderland	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Bristol Rovers	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Peterborough	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Newport County	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Morecambe	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Cheltenham	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	Accrington ST	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	Crawley Town	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	Tranmere	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Milton Keynes Dons	1	0	0	1	-5	0
63	Barrow	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.