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DBU Pokalen
Referee: M Seyfi
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holbæk B&I Holstebro
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/3 matches
Win Ø 84%
100%
67%
Points per game
3,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,5
7,3
Scored
2,5
5,0
Conceded
0,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+2,7
This season — DBU Pokalen · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,5
7,5
Scored
2,5
6,5
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+5,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Holbæk B&I 13. · Holstebro 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Næsby 3 3 0 0 +14 9
2 Skive 3 3 0 0 +13 9
3 Frem 3 3 0 0 +11 9
4 Brabrand 3 3 0 0 +6 9
5 Holstebro 2 2 0 0 +11 6
6 Aalborg 2 2 0 0 +10 6
7 Esbjerg 2 2 0 0 +10 6
8 Fredericia 3 2 0 1 +9 6
9 Kolding IF 2 2 0 0 +9 6
10 Ishøj 3 2 0 1 +8 6
11 Sonderjyske 2 2 0 0 +8 6
12 HB Koge 2 2 0 0 +6 6
13 Holbæk B&I 2 2 0 0 +5 6
14 B 93 3 2 0 1 +3 6
15 Roskilde 2 2 0 0 +3 6
16 Avarta 2 2 0 0 +3 6
17 Hvidovre IF 2 2 0 0 +2 6
18 Vendsyssel FF 2 2 0 0 +2 6
19 Hillerød 3 2 0 1 +1 6
20 VSK Århus 3 2 0 1 +1 6
21 FC Helsingor 3 2 0 1 +0 6
22 Middelfart 3 1 2 0 +1 5
23 Fremad Amager 2 1 1 0 +5 4
24 Viborg 2 1 1 0 +4 4
25 Nykobing FC 2 1 1 0 +1 4
26 Brønshøj 3 1 1 1 -2 4
27 Vanløse 2 1 0 1 +9 3
28 Randers FC 2 1 0 1 +9 3
29 Hørsholm-Usserød 2 1 0 1 +3 3
30 Midtjylland 1 1 0 0 +3 3
31 OKS 2 1 0 1 +2 3
32 Hobro 2 1 0 1 +2 3
33 AB Copenhagen 2 1 0 1 +2 3
34 Aarhus 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 Horsens 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Silkeborg KFUM 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 Vejgaard B 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Gørslev 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 Allerød 2 1 0 1 +1 3
40 Aarhus Fremad 2 1 0 1 +1 3
41 SGI 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 B 1909 2 1 0 1 -2 3
43 NB Bornholm 2 1 0 1 -2 3
44 Herlev 2 1 0 1 -2 3
45 Thisted FC 2 1 0 1 -2 3
46 B 1908 2 1 0 1 -2 3
47 B 1913 2 1 0 1 -4 3
48 Solrød 2 1 0 1 -4 3
49 Give Fremad 2 1 0 1 -4 3
50 Morud/Veflinge 2 1 0 1 -6 3
51 ACFC 2 1 0 1 -8 3
52 Vejle 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Dalum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Odense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Kolding B 2 0 1 1 -1 1
56 Skjold Birkerød 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Tarup-Paarup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 LKB-Gistrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Ringsted 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Kastrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 BBB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Karlslunde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Lyseng 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Svebølle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Vigerslev 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Nerashté Ballerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 SfB-Oure 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Sundby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 AB Tårnby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Christiansbjerg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 HIK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Odder 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Naestved 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Vatanspor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Gladsaxe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Lyngby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
78 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 FC Nakskov 1 0 0 1 -3 0
80 Aalborg Freja 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 BiH Odense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 Jyllinge 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -3 0
84 Gug 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 Aalborg Chang 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 FA 2000 1 0 0 1 -4 0
87 ØB 1 0 0 1 -4 0
88 FB 1 0 0 1 -4 0
89 Skjern 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 Herlufsholm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Bagsværd 1 0 0 1 -5 0
92 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -5 0
93 ESPM 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Sønderborg Fremad 1 0 0 1 -6 0
95 Varde 1 0 0 1 -6 0
96 NFB 1 0 0 1 -6 0
97 Ringkøbing 1 0 0 1 -8 0
98 Fredericia FF 1 0 0 1 -8 0
99 Lemming 1 0 0 1 -9 0
100 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Holbæk B&I Holstebro
1–0 B. Baldeh
26′
B. Serinkanli 🔁
↦ M. Lumb
36′
🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
V. Petersen 🔁
↦ I. Badran
46′
59′
🔁 M. Clemmensen
↦ A. Iversen
J. Haslund 🔁
↦ B. Masaad
63′
68′
🔁 M. Tønnesen
↦ J. Søndergaard
68′
🔁 M. Koefoed Albertsen
↦ M. Wallin
71′
M. Tønnesen 1–1
74′
🔁 E. Ünal
↦ J. Ndjate
O. Nellemose 🔁
↦ A. Knaack
79′
N. Bentsen 🔁
↦ N. Bursac
79′
🟨
82′
2–1 O. Nellemose
85′
O. Nellemose Nielsen 🟨
86′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Holbæk B&I

1 S. Olsen
3 C. Blond
2 M. Døj
4 I. Ponder
25 M. Lumb
32 I. Badran
18 B. Masaad
5 M. Garly
26 B. Baldeh
19 N. Bursac
9 A. Knaack
Bench (9)
17 B. Serinkanli
27 V. Petersen
12 J. Haslund
23 O. Nellemose
28 N. Bentsen
24 M. Rabia Yassin
29 M. Coker
7 L. Dahl
30 M. Skovgaard

Coach: J. Blond

Holstebro

20 N. Rohde
3 J. Ndjate
2 R. Kristiansen
4 A. Broe
19 N. Øvreås Poulsen
17 M. Kristensen
11 M. Wallin
77 O. Moses
13 M. Nicolaisen
14 J. Søndergaard
7 A. Iversen
Bench (7)
18 M. Clemmensen
23 M. Tønnesen
26 M. Koefoed Albertsen
15 E. Ünal
1 M. Bjerrum
12 K. Matsiakh
37 K. Elkjær

Coach: K. Kristensen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.