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DBU Pokalen

Referee: M Kristoffersen

Middelfart

T S T U S

2–2

Full-time

Viborg

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middelfart Viborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

4,0

3,5

Scored

2,8

2,7

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — DBU Pokalen · 2/1 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

1,5

4,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Middelfart 23. · Viborg 28. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Næsby	3	3	0	0	+14	9
2	Skive	3	3	0	0	+13	9
3	Frem	3	3	0	0	+11	9
4	Holstebro	2	2	0	0	+11	6
5	Aalborg	2	2	0	0	+10	6
6	Esbjerg	2	2	0	0	+10	6
7	Fredericia	3	2	0	1	+9	6
8	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+9	6
9	Kolding IF	2	2	0	0	+9	6
10	HB Koge	2	2	0	0	+6	6
11	Brabrand	2	2	0	0	+5	6
12	Holbæk B&I	2	2	0	0	+5	6
13	B 93	3	2	0	1	+3	6
14	Roskilde	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	VSK Århus	2	2	0	0	+3	6
16	Avarta	2	2	0	0	+3	6
17	Hvidovre IF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
18	Vendsyssel FF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
19	Hillerød	3	2	0	1	+1	6
20	FC Helsingor	3	2	0	1	+0	6
21	Fremad Amager	2	1	1	0	+5	4
22	Nykobing FC	2	1	1	0	+1	4
23	Middelfart	2	1	1	0	+1	4
24	Brønshøj	3	1	1	1	-2	4
25	Randers FC	1	1	0	0	+10	3
26	Vanløse	2	1	0	1	+9	3
27	Sonderjyske	1	1	0	0	+7	3
28	Viborg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
29	Hørsholm-Usserød	2	1	0	1	+3	3
30	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	OKS	2	1	0	1	+2	3
32	Hobro	2	1	0	1	+2	3
33	AB Copenhagen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	Horsens	2	1	0	1	+1	3
35	Silkeborg KFUM	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Vejgaard B	2	1	0	1	+1	3
37	Gørslev	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	Allerød	2	1	0	1	+1	3
39	Aarhus Fremad	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	SGI	2	1	0	1	+0	3
41	B 1909	2	1	0	1	-2	3
42	NB Bornholm	2	1	0	1	-2	3
43	Herlev	2	1	0	1	-2	3
44	Thisted FC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
45	B 1908	2	1	0	1	-2	3
46	B 1913	2	1	0	1	-4	3
47	Solrød	2	1	0	1	-4	3
48	Give Fremad	2	1	0	1	-4	3
49	Morud/Veflinge	2	1	0	1	-6	3
50	ACFC	2	1	0	1	-8	3
51	Vejle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Dalum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Kolding B	2	0	1	1	-1	1
55	Skjold Birkerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	LKB-Gistrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	BBB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Karlslunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Svebølle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Vigerslev	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Nerashté Ballerup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-2	0
68	Sundby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
69	AB Tårnby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
70	Christiansbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	HIK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Odder	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Vatanspor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Gladsaxe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
77	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Aalborg Freja	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	BiH Odense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	Jyllinge	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	B 1960	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	Gug	1	0	0	1	-3	0
84	Aalborg Chang	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	FA 2000	1	0	0	1	-4	0
86	ØB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
87	FB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
88	Skjern	1	0	0	1	-4	0
89	Herlufsholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	Bagsværd	1	0	0	1	-5	0
91	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-5	0
92	ESPM	1	0	0	1	-5	0
93	Sønderborg Fremad	1	0	0	1	-6	0
94	Varde	1	0	0	1	-6	0
95	NFB	1	0	0	1	-6	0
96	Ringkøbing	1	0	0	1	-8	0
97	Fredericia FF	1	0	0	1	-8	0
98	Lemming	1	0	0	1	-9	0
99	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Middelfart	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Skive	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Frem	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Brabrand	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Holbæk B&I	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Gørslev	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Næsby	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	VSK Århus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	B 1909	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	NB Bornholm	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Solrød	2	1	0	1	-4	3
12	Morud/Veflinge	2	1	0	1	-6	3
13	Nykobing FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Kolding B	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Brønshøj	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	LKB-Gistrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Vanløse	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Ringsted	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	ASA Aarhus	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Kastrup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	BBB	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Karlslunde	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Lyseng	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Svebølle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Vigerslev	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Nerashté Ballerup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Silkeborg KFUM	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	OKS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	AB Tårnby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Vejgaard B	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Christiansbjerg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	HIK	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Odder	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Allerød	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Naestved	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Vatanspor	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Gladsaxe	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Fredericia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
40	Hillerød	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Herlev	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Nørresundby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	SGI	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	B 1908	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Aalborg Freja	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	BiH Odense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Jyllinge	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	B 1960	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Gug	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Aalborg Chang	1	0	0	1	-3	0
51	FA 2000	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	ØB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	Horsens	1	0	0	1	-4	0
54	FB	1	0	0	1	-4	0
55	Skjern	1	0	0	1	-4	0
56	Herlufsholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Bagsværd	1	0	0	1	-5	0
58	Kjellerup	1	0	0	1	-5	0
59	Give Fremad	1	0	0	1	-5	0
60	ESPM	1	0	0	1	-5	0
61	Sønderborg Fremad	1	0	0	1	-6	0
62	Varde	1	0	0	1	-6	0
63	NFB	1	0	0	1	-6	0
64	Ringkøbing	1	0	0	1	-8	0
65	Fredericia FF	1	0	0	1	-8	0
66	ACFC	1	0	0	1	-9	0
67	Lemming	1	0	0	1	-9	0
68	LUIF	1	0	0	1	-10	0
69	B 1913	1	0	0	1	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Næsby	2	2	0	0	+13	6
2	Fredericia	2	2	0	0	+12	6
3	Holstebro	2	2	0	0	+11	6
4	Aalborg	2	2	0	0	+10	6
5	Esbjerg	2	2	0	0	+10	6
6	Ishøj	2	2	0	0	+9	6
7	Kolding IF	2	2	0	0	+9	6
8	Frem	2	2	0	0	+8	6
9	Skive	2	2	0	0	+8	6
10	HB Koge	2	2	0	0	+6	6
11	Hillerød	2	2	0	0	+4	6
12	B 93	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	Roskilde	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Avarta	2	2	0	0	+3	6
15	Hvidovre IF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
16	Vendsyssel FF	2	2	0	0	+2	6
17	FC Helsingor	3	2	0	1	+0	6
18	Fremad Amager	2	1	1	0	+5	4
19	Vanløse	1	1	0	0	+10	3
20	Randers FC	1	1	0	0	+10	3
21	Sonderjyske	1	1	0	0	+7	3
22	B 1913	1	1	0	0	+6	3
23	Horsens	1	1	0	0	+5	3
24	Viborg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
25	OKS	1	1	0	0	+4	3
26	Hørsholm-Usserød	1	1	0	0	+4	3
27	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	+3	3
28	Silkeborg KFUM	1	1	0	0	+3	3
29	Vejgaard B	1	1	0	0	+3	3
30	SGI	1	1	0	0	+3	3
31	Holbæk B&I	1	1	0	0	+3	3
32	Allerød	1	1	0	0	+3	3
33	Hobro	2	1	0	1	+2	3
34	AB Copenhagen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
35	Brabrand	1	1	0	0	+2	3
36	VSK Århus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
37	Aarhus Fremad	2	1	0	1	+1	3
38	ACFC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Brønshøj	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Give Fremad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Nykobing FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Herlev	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	B 1908	1	1	0	0	+1	3
44	Thisted FC	2	1	0	1	-2	3
45	Vejle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Dalum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Odense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Skjold Birkerød	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Tarup-Paarup	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	SfB-Oure	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Sundby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	FC Nakskov	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.