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DBU Pokalen
Referee: J Sundberg
Roskilde
S T T S S
1–3
Full-time
Silkeborg
S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roskilde Silkeborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,7
4,3
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Næsby 3 3 0 0 +14 9
2 Skive 3 3 0 0 +13 9
3 Frem 3 3 0 0 +11 9
4 Brabrand 3 3 0 0 +6 9
5 Holstebro 2 2 0 0 +11 6
6 Aalborg 2 2 0 0 +10 6
7 Esbjerg 2 2 0 0 +10 6
8 Fredericia 3 2 0 1 +9 6
9 Kolding IF 2 2 0 0 +9 6
10 Ishøj 3 2 0 1 +8 6
11 Sonderjyske 2 2 0 0 +8 6
12 HB Koge 2 2 0 0 +6 6
13 Holbæk B&I 2 2 0 0 +5 6
14 B 93 3 2 0 1 +3 6
15 Roskilde 2 2 0 0 +3 6
16 Avarta 2 2 0 0 +3 6
17 Hvidovre IF 2 2 0 0 +2 6
18 Vendsyssel FF 2 2 0 0 +2 6
19 Hillerød 3 2 0 1 +1 6
20 VSK Århus 3 2 0 1 +1 6
21 FC Helsingor 3 2 0 1 +0 6
22 Middelfart 3 1 2 0 +1 5
23 Fremad Amager 2 1 1 0 +5 4
24 Viborg 2 1 1 0 +4 4
25 Nykobing FC 2 1 1 0 +1 4
26 Brønshøj 3 1 1 1 -2 4
27 Vanløse 2 1 0 1 +9 3
28 Randers FC 2 1 0 1 +9 3
29 Hørsholm-Usserød 2 1 0 1 +3 3
30 Midtjylland 1 1 0 0 +3 3
31 OKS 2 1 0 1 +2 3
32 Hobro 2 1 0 1 +2 3
33 AB Copenhagen 2 1 0 1 +2 3
34 Aarhus 1 1 0 0 +2 3
35 Horsens 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Silkeborg KFUM 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 Vejgaard B 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Gørslev 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 Allerød 2 1 0 1 +1 3
40 Aarhus Fremad 2 1 0 1 +1 3
41 SGI 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 B 1909 2 1 0 1 -2 3
43 NB Bornholm 2 1 0 1 -2 3
44 Herlev 2 1 0 1 -2 3
45 Thisted FC 2 1 0 1 -2 3
46 B 1908 2 1 0 1 -2 3
47 B 1913 2 1 0 1 -4 3
48 Solrød 2 1 0 1 -4 3
49 Give Fremad 2 1 0 1 -4 3
50 Morud/Veflinge 2 1 0 1 -6 3
51 ACFC 2 1 0 1 -8 3
52 Vejle 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Dalum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Odense 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Kolding B 2 0 1 1 -1 1
56 Skjold Birkerød 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Tarup-Paarup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 LKB-Gistrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Ringsted 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 Kastrup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 BBB 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 Karlslunde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Lyseng 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 Svebølle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Vigerslev 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Nerashté Ballerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 SfB-Oure 1 0 0 1 -2 0
69 Sundby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
70 AB Tårnby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
71 Christiansbjerg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
72 HIK 1 0 0 1 -2 0
73 Odder 1 0 0 1 -2 0
74 Naestved 1 0 0 1 -2 0
75 Vatanspor 1 0 0 1 -2 0
76 Gladsaxe 1 0 0 1 -2 0
77 Lyngby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
78 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -3 0
79 FC Nakskov 1 0 0 1 -3 0
80 Aalborg Freja 1 0 0 1 -3 0
81 BiH Odense 1 0 0 1 -3 0
82 Jyllinge 1 0 0 1 -3 0
83 B 1960 1 0 0 1 -3 0
84 Gug 1 0 0 1 -3 0
85 Aalborg Chang 1 0 0 1 -3 0
86 FA 2000 1 0 0 1 -4 0
87 ØB 1 0 0 1 -4 0
88 FB 1 0 0 1 -4 0
89 Skjern 1 0 0 1 -4 0
90 Herlufsholm 1 0 0 1 -4 0
91 Bagsværd 1 0 0 1 -5 0
92 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -5 0
93 ESPM 1 0 0 1 -5 0
94 Sønderborg Fremad 1 0 0 1 -6 0
95 Varde 1 0 0 1 -6 0
96 NFB 1 0 0 1 -6 0
97 Ringkøbing 1 0 0 1 -8 0
98 Fredericia FF 1 0 0 1 -8 0
99 Lemming 1 0 0 1 -9 0
100 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Roskilde Silkeborg
26′
Pedro Ganchas 0–1
Y. Bakiz
Half-time 1–1
1–1 R. Arabaci
47′
R. Arabaci 🟨
60′
61′
T. Adamsen 1–2
F. Carlsen
65′
🔁 O. Sonne
↦ R. Østrøm
65′
🔁 A. Simmelhack
↦ F. Carlsen
M. Winkel 🔁
↦ M. Juhl
67′
E. Nielsen 🔁
↦ R. Arabaci
67′
O. Juul 🔁
↦ J. Damkjær
67′
73′
🔁 R. Orazov
↦ Y. Bakiz
74′
🟨 P. Mattsson
83′
🟨 P. Ganchas
A. Jensen 🔁
↦ S. Baskaya
83′
A. Maarup 🔁
↦ O. Skolnik
83′
84′
🔁 J. Nielsen
↦ M. Freundlich
A. Maarup 🟨
85′
93′
R. Orazov 1–3
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Roskilde

16 A. Jensen
2 M. Juhl
12 N. Vesterbæk
4 O. Skolnik
26 M. Lysholm
8 M. Kristensen
23 G. Fraulo
11 S. Baskaya
14 K. Nyegaard
22 J. Damkjær
10 R. Arabaci
Bench (9)
17 M. Winkel
7 E. Nielsen
3 O. Juul
27 A. Jensen
18 A. Maarup
30 O. Hjorth
15 A. Taranis
5 H. Askham
6 N. Halse

Coach: M. Thygesen

Silkeborg

1 N. Larsen
15 R. Thelander
19 J. Gammelby
4 Pedro Ganchas
3 R. Østrøm
20 M. Larsen
10 Y. Bakiz
6 P. Mattsson
33 M. Freundlich
11 F. Carlsen
23 T. Adamsen
Bench (8)
5 O. Sonne
9 A. Simmelhack
7 R. Orazov
36 J. Nielsen
2 A. Poulsen
41 O. Boesen
35 S. Mikkelsen
30 A. Andrésen

Coach: K. Nielsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Sundberg · 57 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.