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Ligue 1

Referee: T Léonard

Nice

U T U S T

8–0

Full-time

St Etienne

U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nice St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 38%

75%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,5

0,3

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 6–0

4,73 xG 0,32

59% Possession 41%

18 Shots 8

12 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nice 12. · St Etienne 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+13	+9.0	12
2	Marseille	4	3	1	0	+8	+1.8	10
3	Monaco	4	3	1	0	+6	+5.5	10
4	Lens	4	2	2	0	+3	+4.7	8
5	Nantes	4	2	1	1	+3	+0.7	7
6	Reims	4	2	1	1	+0	-4.7	7
7	Rennes	4	2	0	2	+3	+0.7	6
8	Lille	4	2	0	2	+1	+1.1	6
9	Le Havre	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.3	6
10	Strasbourg	4	1	2	1	+1	+0.3	5
11	Toulouse	4	1	2	1	+0	+2.2	5
12	Nice	4	1	1	2	+0	+1.3	4
13	Lyon	4	1	1	2	-4	-2.5	4
14	Brest	4	1	0	3	-4	-2.1	3
15	Auxerre	4	1	0	3	-6	-4.2	3
16	St Etienne	4	1	0	3	-6	-5.7	3
17	Angers	4	0	1	3	-6	-3.3	1
18	Montpellier	4	0	1	3	-11	-4.2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+8	+5.1	6
2	Rennes	2	2	0	0	+6	+0.9	6
3	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.9	4
4	Strasbourg	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.0	4
5	Lens	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.6	4
6	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
7	Toulouse	3	1	1	1	+0	+2.5	4
8	Nantes	2	1	0	1	+1	+1.3	3
9	Brest	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.9	3
10	Lille	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.9	3
11	Lyon	2	1	0	1	-1	-2.0	3
12	Le Havre	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.5	3
13	Reims	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.4	3
14	St Etienne	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.3	3
15	Auxerre	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.7	3
16	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
17	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-2	-0.1	1
18	Angers	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	2	2	0	0	+6	+0.9	6
2	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+5	+3.9	6
3	Monaco	2	2	0	0	+5	+5.2	6
4	Nantes	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.7	4
5	Reims	2	1	1	0	+1	-3.3	4
6	Lens	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.1	4
7	Lille	2	1	0	1	+1	+2.0	3
8	Nice	3	1	0	2	+0	+1.0	3
9	Le Havre	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.2	3
10	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.3	1
11	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.7	1
12	Angers	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.6	1
13	Lyon	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.5	1
14	Rennes	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.2	0
15	Auxerre	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.5	0
16	Brest	2	0	0	2	-4	-4.0	0
17	St Etienne	2	0	0	2	-5	-4.5	0
18	Montpellier	2	0	0	2	-9	-4.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.