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Süper Lig
Referee: V Bayarslan
Ankaragücü
S U T U S
1–4
Full-time
Galatasaray
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
This season — Süper Lig · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 55%
33%
76%
Points per game
1,2
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
55%
67%
Both score Ø 55%
61%
48%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

47% Possession 53%
15 Shots 20
6 Shots on target 11
4 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ankaragücü 12. · Galatasaray 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 33 25 4 4 +47 79
2 Fenerbahce 33 23 5 5 +43 74
3 Besiktas 34 22 8 4 +39 74
4 Ad. Demirspor 33 18 9 6 +29 63
5 Buyuksehyr 34 16 8 10 +14 56
6 Trabzonspor 33 15 6 12 +6 51
7 Konyaspor 33 12 13 8 +9 49
8 Kayserispor 33 15 4 14 -3 49
9 Karagumruk 33 11 11 11 +7 44
10 Alanyaspor 34 11 8 15 -10 41
11 Kasimpasa 33 11 7 15 -12 40
12 Ankaragücü 33 11 6 16 -7 39
13 Antalyaspor 33 10 8 15 -8 38
14 Sivasspor 34 10 7 17 -9 37
15 İstanbulspor 33 10 5 18 -21 35
16 Giresunspor 33 8 10 15 -19 34
17 Ümraniyespor 35 8 9 18 -9 33
18 Gaziantep 35 6 7 22 -38 25
19 Hatayspor 34 6 5 23 -58 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ankaragücü Galatasaray
7′
M. Icardi 0–1
M. Rashica
1–1 Milson
T. Antalyalı
16′
Arda Kızıldağ 🟨
25′
Lamine Diack 🟨
35′
38′
M. Icardi 1–2
K. Aktürkoğlu
Half-time 1–2
M. Hanousek 🔁
↦ H. Kaldırım
46′
E. Kılınç 🔁
↦ G. Zahid
46′
S. Kitsiou 🔁
↦ L. Diack
46′
Nihad Mujakić 🟨
55′
G. Beridze 🔁
↦ Milson
64′
65′
🔁 L. Dubois
↦ D. Mertens
65′
🔁 B. Yılmaz
↦ K. Karataş
73′
B. Yılmaz 1–3
K. Aktürkoğlu
78′
Sérgio Oliveira 1–4
K. Aktürkoğlu
79′
🔁 Y. Akgün
↦ M. Rashica
79′
🔁 B. Kutlu
↦ Sérgio Oliveira
A. Çankaya 🔁
↦ T. Antalyalı
81′
87′
🔁 F. Midtsjø
↦ L. Torreira
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Ankaragücü

4-3-3
32 G. Akkan G
24 K. Malcuit D
37 A. Kızıldağ D
18 N. Mujakić D
33 H. Kaldırım D
48 T. Antalyalı M
14 L. Diack M
16 A. Đokanović M
70 Milson F
22 A. Sowe F
19 G. Zahid F
Bench (10)
5 M. Hanousek
54 E. Kılınç
17 S. Kitsiou
21 G. Beridze
4 A. Çankaya
80 S. İmdat
88 F. Üzüm
99 B. Güngördü
7 T. Chatzigiovanis
77 G. Töre

Coach: T. Kafkas

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 F. Muslera G
93 S. Boey D
25 V. Nelsson D
42 A. Bardakcı D
88 K. Karataş D
27 Sérgio Oliveira M
5 L. Torreira M
26 M. Rashica M
10 D. Mertens M
7 K. Aktürkoğlu M
99 M. Icardi F
Bench (10)
2 L. Dubois
53 B. Yılmaz
11 Y. Akgün
22 B. Kutlu
6 F. Midtsjø
64 Mata
18 B. Gomis
34 O. Kocuk
32 S. Adekugbe
23 K. Ayhan

Coach: O. Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,51
U
4,79
B ✓
1,48
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,37
U2,5
3,02
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

V Bayarslan · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.