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Champions League
Referee: W Delajod
Galatasaray
S S S S U
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Galatasaray FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
2,7
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,2
This season — Champions League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

68% Possession 32%
20 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Galatasaray FK Zalgiris Vilnius
5′
🟨 Joel Bopesu
1–0 D. Mertens
K. Aktürkoğlu
31′
Half-time 1–0
Y. Akgün 🔁
↦ H. Dervişoğlu
46′
56′
🟨 Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde
59′
🔁 Á. Vilhjálmsson
↦ P. Mamić
Dries Mertens 🟨
62′
F. Midtsjø 🔁
↦ Sérgio Oliveira
69′
74′
🔁 Y. Karashima
↦ O. Buff
77′
🟨 Nassim Hnid
77′
🟥 Nassim Hnid
VAR: Red card cancelled
O. Moruțan 🔁
↦ D. Mertens
78′
C. Bakambu 🔁
↦ B. Yılmaz
79′
K. Ayhan 🔁
↦ K. Aktürkoğlu
89′
89′
🔁 O. Verbickas
↦ Y. Kendysh
Kaan Ayhan 🟨
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
1 F. Muslera G
93 S. Boey D
25 V. Nelsson D
42 A. Bardakcı D
3 Angeliño D
22 B. Kutlu M
27 Sérgio Oliveira M
53 B. Yılmaz M
10 D. Mertens M
7 K. Aktürkoğlu M
21 H. Dervişoğlu F
Bench (12)
11 Y. Akgün
6 F. Midtsjø
80 O. Moruțan
94 C. Bakambu
23 K. Ayhan
40 E. Bayram
2 L. Dubois
88 K. Karataş
54 E. Kılınç
63 B. Aksaka
35 B. Şen
81 H. Akman

Coach: O. Buruk

FK Zalgiris Vilnius

4-4-2
1 E. Gertmonas G
3 M. Pavelić D
26 N. Hnid D
31 S. Vučur D
7 J. Bopesu D
15 O. Buff M
5 N. Gorobsov M
71 Y. Kendysh M
12 P. Mamić M
10 P. Golubickas F
99 M. Oyewusi F
Bench (11)
77 Á. Vilhjálmsson
8 Y. Karashima
22 O. Verbickas
80 L. Antal
33 M. Milićković
4 K. Kažukolovas
70 D. Elzbergas
23 R. Jansonas
25 T. Duka
13 S. Mikoliūnas
2 A. Fofana

Coach: V. Cheburin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Delajod · 165 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.