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Pro League
Referee: Lothar D'Hondt
Gent
S S S S U
2–1
Full-time
Standard
U S S S T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 4. · Standard 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 7 6 1 0 +21 +1.2 19
2 Club Brugge 7 6 0 1 +10 +4.7 18
3 Charleroi 7 6 0 1 +8 +4.5 18
4 Gent 6 5 1 0 +8 +2.2 16
5 Waregem 6 3 2 1 +6 +1.9 11
6 Standard 6 3 2 1 +2 -0.4 11
7 Anderlecht 6 3 1 2 -1 +2.7 10
8 Genk 6 2 3 1 +4 +5.3 9
9 St Truiden 7 2 3 2 +2 +1.0 9
10 Beveren 6 3 0 3 -3 -4.4 9
11 Antwerp 6 2 1 3 -2 -0.4 7
12 Lommel SK 6 2 1 3 -2 7
13 Lommel United 6 2 1 3 -2 -0.5 7
14 Westerlo 7 2 1 4 -7 -4.9 7
15 RAAL La Louviere 6 1 1 4 -5 -3.0 4
16 Cercle Brugge 7 0 3 4 -6 -0.2 3
17 Mechelen 6 0 2 4 -9 -1.0 2
18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6 0 1 5 -10 -5.3 1
19 Kortrijk 6 0 0 6 -14 -3.4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Standard
Maksim Paskotsi 🔁
↦ Mouhamed El Bachir Ngom
27′
1–0 Josue Vergara
31′
Half-time 1–1
48′
Casper Nielsen 1–1
Dennis Dargahi
Hyllarion Goore 🔁
↦ Matties Volckaert
71′
Leonardo Da Silva Lopes 🔁
↦ Mathias Delorge
71′
71′
🔁 Bruny Nsimba
↦ Dennis Dargahi
Siebe Van Der Heyden 🟨
76′
2–1 Christian Burgess
Tibe De Vlieger
83′
87′
🔁 Bernard Nguene
↦ Alexis Trouillet
87′
🔁 Tobias Mohr
↦ Marlon Fossey
Ibrahima Cisse 🔁
↦ Josue Vergara
91′
Abdoul Ayinde 🔁
↦ Momodou Sonko
91′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Gent

3-4-2-1
33 D. Roef G
5 M. Ngom D
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
57 M. Volckaert M
27 T. De Vlieger M
17 M. Delorge-Knieper M
20 Tiago Araújo M
7 M. Balikwisha M
11 M. Sonko M
47 J. Y. Vergara Ortega F
Bench (10)
45 B. Goore
37 A. Kadri
10 A. Omgba
3 M. Paskotši
30 K. Peersman
59 E. Seck
14 Kyrell Wilson
22 Leonardo Lopes
75 I. Cisse
39 A. Ayindé

Coach: R. Demil

Standard

4-3-3
1 M. Epolo G
13 M. Fossey D
20 I. Karamoko D
25 I. Hautekiet D
18 H. Lawrence D
94 C. Nielsen M
22 A. Trouillet M
84 R. Touzghar M
15 S. Drammeh F
10 D. Eckert Ayensa F
11 A. Abid F
Bench (9)
29 D. Dierckx
17 Bernard Nguene
77 B. Nsimba
21 L. Pirard
9 A. Zeqiri
23 M. Ilaimaharitra
80 R. Fosso
19 S. Jasper
7 T. Mohr

Coach: V. Euvrard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,76
U
3,52
B
4,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,29
U1,5
3,40
O2,5 ✓
1,98
U2,5
1,84
O3,5
3,40
U3,5 ✓
1,29
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,82
BLS nei
1,90

Referee

Lothar D'Hondt · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.