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La Liga
Referee: Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban
Espanol
T T U S T
1–3
Full-time
Elche
T T T U T
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Elche
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
4,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
4,0
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

66% Possession 34%
23 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
9 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Espanol 8. · Elche 20. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 6 6 0 0 +22 +14.3 18
2 Real Madrid 6 5 0 1 +11 +10.4 15
3 Betis 6 5 0 1 +2 +0.3 15
4 Ath Madrid 6 4 1 1 +8 +3.3 13
5 Sevilla 6 4 1 1 +3 -0.6 13
6 Alaves 6 3 1 2 +5 +3.1 10
7 La Coruna 6 2 3 1 +2 -1.6 9
8 Espanol 6 2 1 3 +2 -1.5 7
9 Ath Bilbao 5 2 1 2 +1 -1.1 7
10 Santander 6 2 1 3 -5 -2.8 7
11 Vallecano 6 2 1 3 -5 -5.0 7
12 Sociedad 6 2 1 3 -5 -3.2 7
13 Osasuna 6 2 1 3 -7 -0.6 7
14 Villarreal 6 1 2 3 -1 +0.6 5
15 Levante 5 1 2 2 -2 -0.0 5
16 Getafe 6 1 2 3 -4 -3.2 5
17 Celta 6 0 4 2 -3 -2.6 4
18 Valencia 6 1 1 4 -8 -0.1 4
19 Malaga 6 0 3 3 -8 -3.3 3
20 Elche 6 0 2 4 -8 -6.3 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Mar -26 Elche – Espanol 2–2 25. Oct -25 Espanol – Elche 1–0 27. Apr -24 Elche – Espanol 2–2 18. Nov -23 Espanol – Elche 2–0 19. Feb -23 Elche – Espanol 0–1

Match report

Espanol Elche
4′
ℹ️ Federico Redondo Solari
VAR: Card upgrade confirmed
6′
🟥 Federico Redondo Solari
22′
🟨 Fernando Niño Rodríguez
26′
⚽ Fernando Niño Rodríguez 0–1
Roy Revivo
29′
⚽ Fernando Niño Rodríguez 0–2
Roy Revivo
37′
🔁 Ruben Sanchez Saez
↦ Buba Sangaré
Quilindschy Hartman 🔁
↦ Roger Hinojo
45′
Marcos Fernández 🔁
↦ Urko Gonzalez
45′
Half-time 0–2
Eduardo Expósito Jaén 🟨
49′
60′
🔁 Pedro Bigas
↦ Gonzalo Villar
61′
🔁 Abiel Alessio Osorio
↦ Fernando Niño Rodríguez
Pere Milla 🔁
↦ Álex Calatrava Torrado
61′
Tyrhys Dolan 🔁
↦ Bryan Zaragoza
67′
Clemens Riedel 🔁
↦ Unai Núñez
67′
0–3 Víctor Chust ⚽
own goal
72′
77′
🔁 Tete Morente
↦ Thomas Lemar
77′
🔁 Matia Barzic
↦ Roy Revivo
78′
⚽ Germán Valera 0–4
Tete Morente
Clemens Riedel 🟨
82′
91′
🟨 Lucas Cepeda
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Espanol

4-2-3-1
13 M. Dmitrović G
32 J. A. Lopez D
14 Unai Núñez D
6 L. Cabrera D
21 Roger Hinojo D
8 Edu Expósito M
4 Urko González M
22 Álex Calatrava M
28 Javier Hernandez M
15 Bryan Zaragoza M
9 Roberto Fernández F
Bench (12)
11 Pere Milla
5 C. Riedel
3 Q. Hartman
20 Gabriel Moscardo
1 Ángel Fortuño
18 Marcos Fernández
16 V. Drkušić
24 T. Dolan
26 Rafel Bauzà
31 Llorenç Serred
29 Víctor Mullerat Tomas
10 Pol Lozano

Coach: Manolo González

Elche

4-3-3
1 M. Dituro G
2 Buba Sangaré D
5 F. Redondo D
23 Víctor Chust D
3 R. Revivo D
18 T. Lemar M
47 J. Morcillo M
12 Gonzalo Villar M
21 L. Cepeda F
14 Fer Niño F
11 Germán Valera F
Bench (12)
26 Matia Barzic Gutiérrez
20 Tete Morente
6 Bigas
10 F. Buonanotte
19 G. Diangana
13 Alejandro Iturbe
17 Josan
16 Martim Neto
24 A. Osorio
9 E. Ponce
22 Rubén Sánchez
8 Marc Aguado

Coach: M. Anselmi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,80
🔒
U
3,65
🔒
B ✓
4,60
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,24
🔒
U1,5
3,90
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,79
🔒
U2,5
2,10
🔒
O3,5 ✓
2,88
🔒
U3,5
1,40
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,66
🔒
BLS nei
2,12
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.