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2. Bundesliga
Referee: Cristian Ballweg
1–1
Full-time
Magdeburg
S S S T S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Magdeburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,5
3,7
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
40%
80%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
3,6
3,6
Scored
1,6
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
8 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Greuther Furth 11. · Magdeburg 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hertha 5 5 0 0 +9 +1.8 15
2 Nurnberg 5 4 1 0 +9 -0.1 13
3 Heidenheim 5 4 0 1 +2 +1.9 12
4 Magdeburg 5 3 0 2 +2 -3.1 9
5 Wolfsburg 5 2 2 1 +3 +3.0 8
6 Kaiserslautern 5 2 2 1 +1 +0.9 8
7 Cottbus 5 2 1 2 +1 -4.4 7
8 Bochum 5 2 1 2 +0 +1.0 7
9 St Pauli 5 1 3 1 +0 +1.0 6
10 Osnabruck 5 2 0 3 -3 -1.7 6
11 Greuther Furth 5 1 2 2 -2 +0.0 5
12 Karlsruhe 5 1 2 2 -5 -1.5 5
13 Braunschweig 5 1 1 3 +0 +0.9 4
14 Bielefeld 5 1 1 3 -2 +3.0 4
15 Hannover 5 1 1 3 -3 +2.7 4
16 Darmstadt 5 1 1 3 -4 -3.9 4
17 Dresden 5 1 1 3 -5 -1.7 4
18 Holstein Kiel 5 0 3 2 -3 +0.3 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Greuther Furth Magdeburg
5′
Emmanuel Iyoha 0–1
Herbert Bockhorn
1–1 Omar Sillah
Felix Klaus
20′
Omar Sillah ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
20′
Jannis Heuer 🟨
33′
Half-time 1–1
57′
🟨 Luka Hyryläinen
66′
🔁 Felipe Chávez
↦ Luka Hyryläinen
66′
🔁 Richmond Tachie
↦ Alexander Nollenberger
Dennis Srbeny 🔁
↦ Shinta Karl Appelkamp
66′
Faton Ademi 🔁
↦ Sacha Banse
66′
Paul Will 🟨
74′
Aaron Keller 🔁
↦ Ole Pohlmann
76′
Dennis Srbeny 🟨
79′
Krisztián Keresztes 🔁
↦ Hendry. Blank
81′
83′
🔁 Pierre Nadjombe
↦ Herbert Bockhorn
83′
🔁 Magnus Elias Walther Baars
↦ Moritz-Broni Kwarteng
89′
🔁 Roko Simic
↦ Mateusz Zukowski
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Greuther Furth

4-3-3
1 Florian Hellstern G
2 Lukas Reich D
22 J. Heuer D
34 Hendry Aron Blank D
27 G. Itter D
8 S. Appelkamp M
13 P. Will M
6 S. Bansé M
30 F. Klaus F
42 O. Sillah F
10 Ole Pohlmann F
Bench (9)
28 D. Arifi
4 Elias Benkara
23 J. Dehm
9 J. Siebatcheu
37 F. Ademi
11 A. Keller
29 K. Keresztes
43 Silas Joel Prüfrock
7 D. Srbeny

Coach: H. Vogel

Magdeburg

4-3-3
1 D. Reimann G
7 H. Bockhorn D
5 T. Müller D
38 L. Hyryläinen D
17 A. Nollenberger D
3 A. MacNulty M
26 T. Müsel M
21 F. Michel M
8 E. Iyoha F
22 M. Żukowski F
10 M. Kwarteng F
Bench (9)
35 Magnus Elias Baars
11 F. Chávez
4 E. Džogović
15 D. Heber
30 N. Kruth
33 Leon Mergner
28 P. Nadjombe
9 R. Šimić
29 R. Tachie

Coach: P. Sander

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,90
U ✓
3,60
B
2,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,12
U1,5
5,50
O2,5
1,46
U2,5 ✓
2,60
O3,5
2,15
U3,5 ✓
1,67
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,40
BLS nei
2,70

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.