2. Bundesliga
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Greuther Furth
Magdeburg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Hertha
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +9 | +1.8 | 15 |
| 2 |
Nurnberg
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +9 | -0.1 | 13 |
| 3 |
Heidenheim
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +2 | +1.9 | 12 |
| 4 |
Magdeburg
|
5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +2 | -3.1 | 9 |
| 5 |
Wolfsburg
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +3 | +3.0 | 8 |
| 6 |
Kaiserslautern
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | +0.9 | 8 |
| 7 |
Cottbus
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | -4.4 | 7 |
| 8 |
Bochum
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +0 | +1.0 | 7 |
| 9 |
St Pauli
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +0 | +1.0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Osnabruck
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | -1.7 | 6 |
| 11 |
Greuther Furth
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +0.0 | 5 |
| 12 |
Karlsruhe
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -5 | -1.5 | 5 |
| 13 |
Braunschweig
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | +0 | +0.9 | 4 |
| 14 |
Bielefeld
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | +3.0 | 4 |
| 15 |
Hannover
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -3 | +2.7 | 4 |
| 16 |
Darmstadt
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -4 | -3.9 | 4 |
| 17 |
Dresden
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | -1.7 | 4 |
| 18 |
Holstein Kiel
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | +0.3 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Florian Hellstern
G
Lukas Reich
D
J. Heuer
D
Hendry Aron Blank
D
G. Itter
D
S. Appelkamp
M
P. Will
M
S. Bansé
M
F. Klaus
F
O. Sillah
F
Ole Pohlmann
F
Coach: H. Vogel
D. Reimann
G
H. Bockhorn
D
T. Müller
D
L. Hyryläinen
D
A. Nollenberger
D
A. MacNulty
M
T. Müsel
M
F. Michel
M
E. Iyoha
F
M. Żukowski
F
M. Kwarteng
F
Coach: P. Sander
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Bochum
Greuther Furth
Greuther Furth
Heidenheim
Cottbus
Greuther Furth
Greuther Furth
Bochum
Greuther Furth
Nurnberg
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.