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Eliteserien

Referee: Jorgen Haugen

Sarpsborg 08

T S U U U

1–3

Full-time

KFUM Oslo

U S T T S

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 KFUM Oslo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 30%

30%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

50%

55%

Both score Ø 58%

60%

55%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

57% Possession 43%

22 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

11 Corners 1

4 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 9. · KFUM Oslo 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	20	16	2	2	+35	+27.3	50
2	Viking	20	15	2	3	+31	+15.7	47
3	Molde	20	11	3	6	+13	+11.5	36
4	Tromso	20	10	5	5	+10	+7.2	35
5	Lillestrom	20	10	2	8	+2	+3.9	32
6	Rosenborg	20	9	3	8	+7	-1.6	30
7	Fredrikstad	20	8	3	9	-7	-9.7	27
8	Brann	20	8	2	10	+6	+1.9	26
9	Sarpsborg 08	20	6	7	7	-3	-0.3	25
10	Ham-Kam	20	6	5	9	-14	-5.4	23
11	Valerenga	20	6	4	10	-9	-3.3	22
12	KFUM Oslo	20	6	4	10	-12	-11.4	22
13	Sandefjord	20	5	5	10	-9	-9.1	20
14	Kristiansund	20	5	4	11	-17	-10.2	19
15	Aalesund	20	3	9	8	-14	-12.8	18
16	Start	20	4	4	12	-19	-3.8	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	9	9	0	0	+25	+8.5	27
2	Bodo/Glimt	10	9	0	1	+25	+20.9	27
3	Rosenborg	11	7	2	2	+14	+4.7	23
4	Molde	10	7	1	2	+12	+6.0	22
5	Tromso	10	6	3	1	+11	+10.8	21
6	Fredrikstad	10	5	2	3	+2	-1.3	17
7	KFUM Oslo	11	5	2	4	+0	-7.1	17
8	Ham-Kam	10	5	2	3	-2	-2.2	17
9	Brann	10	5	0	5	+3	+4.6	15
10	Lillestrom	10	5	0	5	+2	+3.9	15
11	Sarpsborg 08	9	4	3	2	+2	+2.8	15
12	Kristiansund	9	4	2	3	+1	-6.6	14
13	Valerenga	10	4	1	5	+1	-2.0	13
14	Start	10	3	3	4	-3	+1.8	12
15	Aalesund	11	2	6	3	-4	-2.1	12
16	Sandefjord	10	2	5	3	-3	-4.8	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	10	7	2	1	+10	+6.4	23
2	Viking	11	6	2	3	+6	+7.2	20
3	Lillestrom	10	5	2	3	+0	-0.0	17
4	Molde	10	4	2	4	+1	+5.5	14
5	Tromso	10	4	2	4	-1	-3.6	14
6	Brann	10	3	2	5	+3	-2.8	11
7	Sarpsborg 08	11	2	4	5	-5	-3.1	10
8	Fredrikstad	10	3	1	6	-9	-8.4	10
9	Sandefjord	10	3	0	7	-6	-4.3	9
10	Valerenga	10	2	3	5	-10	-1.4	9
11	Rosenborg	9	2	1	6	-7	-6.3	7
12	Aalesund	9	1	3	5	-10	-10.7	6
13	Ham-Kam	10	1	3	6	-12	-3.2	6
14	KFUM Oslo	9	1	2	6	-12	-4.3	5
15	Kristiansund	11	1	2	8	-18	-3.6	5
16	Start	10	1	1	8	-16	-5.7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.