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Referee: Harald Lechner

U U S T S

3–0

Full-time

T T S S U

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Tirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

4,5

3,0

Scored

3,0

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,0

xG conceded Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

50%

Average goals

4,2

3,0

Scored

3,0

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,0

xG conceded Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%

17 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 3

4 Offside 6

6 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match SK Rapid 2. · Tirol 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	6	5	0	1	+12	+8.6	15
2	SK Rapid	6	5	0	1	+11	+6.6	15
3	Salzburg	6	4	2	0	+11	+7.5	14
4	Sturm Graz	6	3	2	1	+2	+2.4	11
5	Tirol	6	2	2	2	+0	-1.7	8
6	Hartberg	6	2	1	3	-3	-4.3	7
7	Grazer AK	6	2	1	3	-10	-3.3	7
8	Austria Vienna	6	2	0	4	-6	-6.2	6
9	Wolfsberger AC	6	1	2	3	-3	-4.1	5
10	Ried	6	1	2	3	-4	-0.6	5
11	A. Lustenau	6	1	2	3	-5	-3.2	5
12	Altach	6	1	0	5	-5	-1.6	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	SK Rapid	3	3	0	0	+11	+6.3	9
2	LASK	3	3	0	0	+9	+5.4	9
3	Salzburg	3	3	0	0	+8	+4.2	9
4	Sturm Graz	3	2	1	0	+2	+1.2	7
5	Grazer AK	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.9	4
6	Ried	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.2	4
7	Wolfsberger AC	4	1	1	2	-2	-0.4	4
8	A. Lustenau	3	1	1	1	-3	-1.2	4
9	Altach	3	1	0	2	+0	+1.5	3
10	Austria Vienna	3	1	0	2	-2	-3.2	3
11	Hartberg	3	1	0	2	-3	-0.4	3
12	Tirol	3	0	2	1	-3	-2.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	3	2	0	1	+3	+3.2	6
2	Tirol	3	2	0	1	+3	+0.5	6
3	SK Rapid	3	2	0	1	+0	+0.3	6
4	Salzburg	3	1	2	0	+3	+3.2	5
5	Sturm Graz	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.1	4
6	Hartberg	3	1	1	1	+0	-3.9	4
7	Austria Vienna	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.9	3
8	Grazer AK	4	1	0	3	-11	-6.2	3
9	Wolfsberger AC	2	0	1	1	-1	-3.8	1
10	A. Lustenau	3	0	1	2	-2	-2.1	1
11	Ried	3	0	1	2	-4	-0.8	1
12	Altach	3	0	0	3	-5	-3.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. Nov -25 Tirol – SK Rapid 1–1 14. Sep -25 SK Rapid – Tirol 4–1 23. Nov -24 Tirol – SK Rapid 0–0 18. Aug -24 SK Rapid – Tirol 2–0 5. Dec -23 Tirol – SK Rapid 1–2

Match report

SK Rapid Tirol

31′

🟨 David Gugganig

1–0 Ercan Kara ⚽

Jannes Horn

33′

Petter Nosakhare Dahl 🟨

39′

Matthias Seidl 🟨

41′

Half-time 1–0

47′

🟨 Marco Boras

Petter Nosakhare Dahl ℹ️

VAR: Penalty cancelled

60′

2–0 Bendeguz Bolla ⚽

Tonni Adamsen

67′

68′

🔁 Nemanja Celic

↦ Marc Striednig

68′

🔁 Husein Balić

↦ Moritz Wels

Nikolaus Wurmbrand 🔁

↦ Petter Nosakhare Dahl

73′

Moulaye Haïdara 🔁

↦ Tonni Adamsen

73′

Nikolaus Wurmbrand 🟨

77′

78′

🔁 David Kubatta

↦ David Gugganig

78′

🔁 Murat Satin

↦ Thomas Goiginger

78′

🔁 Lukas Hinterseer

↦ Nikolai Baden Frederiksen

Claudy M'Buyi 🔁

↦ Ercan Kara

83′

3–0 Nikolaus Wurmbrand ⚽

Nicolas Bajlicz

86′

Louis Schaub 🔁

↦ Nicolas Bajlicz

87′

Marco Tilio 🔁

↦ Yusuf Demir

87′

Jannes Horn 🟨

90′

Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1

1

N. Hedl G

77

B. Bolla D

55

N. Cvetković D

6

S. Raux-Yao D

38

J. Horn D

30

N. Bajlicz M

18

M. Seidl M

22

Y. Demir M

8

T. Adamsen M

10

P. Dahl M

9

E. Kara F

Bench (9)

61 F. Demir

25 P. Gartler

47 Amìn-Elias Gröller

43 M. Haïdara

71 C. M'Buyi

2 Eaden Roka

21 L. Schaub

7 M. Tilio

15 Nikolaus Wurmbrand

Coach: Johannes Thorup

Tirol

4-2-3-1

1

S. Hamzić G

5

D. Murray D

23

M. Boras D

3

D. Gugganig D

28

M. Oswald D

6

Marc Striednig M

30

M. Taferner M

17

M. Olakigbe M

36

T. Goiginger M

37

M. Wels M

8

N. Frederiksen F

Bench (9)

43 N. Čelić

10 T. Sabitzer

14 D. Kubatta

27 D. Jaunegg

16 L. Hinterseer

32 Raphael Gschösser

13 A. Eckmayr

18 H. Balić

11 M. Şatin

Coach: P. Semlic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

1,36

🔒

Betano 1,38 Pinnacle 1,38 1xBet 1,36 Bet365 1,36 BetVictor 1,36 William Hill 1,36 Marathonbet 1,35 SBO 1,34 Betfair 1,33

U

5,00

🔒

Pinnacle 5,62 BetVictor 5,25 1xBet 5,20 Marathonbet 5,20 Bet365 5,00 Betano 5,00 Betfair 5,00 William Hill 5,00 SBO 4,84

B

7,08

🔒

Betfair 7,50 BetVictor 7,50 Pinnacle 7,38 Marathonbet 7,10 1xBet 7,08 Bet365 7,00 Betano 7,00 William Hill 6,50 SBO 6,47

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,10

🔒

U1,5

6,50

🔒

O2,5 ✓

1,36

🔒

U2,5

2,88

🔒

O3,5

1,94

🔒

U3,5 ✓

1,80

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

1,57

🔒

BLS nei ✓

2,25

🔒

Recent matches

12. Sep BL 1 week ago

2. Sep BL 2 weeks ago

30. Aug BL 3 weeks ago

26. Aug ECL 3 weeks ago

20. Aug ECL 1 month ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.