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Ligue 2
Referee: Brendan Roffet
Pau FC
S T U U T
2–0
Full-time
Dunkerque
U T T U S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Dunkerque
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
3,3
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%
22 Shots 7
10 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 8
6 Corners 2
4 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Pau FC 15. · Dunkerque 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Etienne 6 5 0 1 +11 15
2 Reims 6 3 3 0 +6 12
3 Montpellier 6 3 2 1 +1 11
4 Red Star 6 3 2 1 +0 11
5 Annecy 6 3 1 2 +1 10
6 Metz 6 2 3 1 +3 9
7 Sochaux 6 2 3 1 -1 9
8 Dunkerque 6 2 2 2 +0 8
9 Guingamp 6 2 2 2 +0 8
10 Nancy 6 2 1 3 +0 7
11 Rodez 6 2 1 3 -1 7
12 Grenoble 6 2 1 3 -3 7
13 Dijon 6 1 3 2 -1 6
14 Boulogne 6 0 5 1 -1 5
15 Pau FC 6 1 2 3 -2 5
16 Clermont 6 0 5 1 -2 5
17 Nantes 6 1 1 4 -5 4
18 Laval 6 1 1 4 -6 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pau FC Dunkerque
11′
🟥 Victor Mayela
Anthony Briançon 🟨
16′
17′
🔁 Bram Lagae
↦ Gaëtan Robail
Abdel Hakim Abdallah 🟨
32′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Jessy Benet
49′
52′
🟨 Bram Lagae
Axel Dodote 🔁
↦ Axel Bamba
58′
63′
🟨 Albert Sánchez Saura
Abdoulaye Mbaye 🔁
↦ Jeremy Sebas
66′
Souleymane Basse 🔁
↦ Abdel Hakim Abdallah
67′
67′
🔁 Ousmane Touré
↦ Jordan Morel
68′
🔁 Enzo Mayilla
↦ Egor Prutsev
77′
🔁 Pape Dieng
↦ Souleymane Keita
77′
🔁 Franck Leroy Atoen
↦ Théna Massock
81′
🟨 Enzo Mayilla
Lorenzo Rajot 🔁
↦ Tom Saettel
83′
2–0 Abdoulaye Mbaye
Lorenzo Rajot
88′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Pau FC

5-3-2
1 B. Maubleu G
2 T. Pouilly D
29 G. Paquiez D
23 A. Briançon D
88 A. Bamba D
97 A. Abdallah D
6 C. Fall M
21 J. Benet M
18 J. Sebas M
9 B. Leye F
19 T. Saettel F
Bench (9)
8 S. Basse
10 B. Brahimi
4 A. Dodote
27 L. Gadegbeku
11 A. Lefebvre
56 Abdoulaye Mbaye
5 L. Rajot
30 E. Salles
39 M. Tourraine

Coach: Thierry Debes

Dunkerque

4-2-3-1
73 Moha Airam G
27 A. Linguet D
26 Opa Sanganté D
22 V. Mayela D
24 L. Vallier D
6 J. Morel M
18 Théna Massock M
7 K. Ayari M
19 S. Keita M
11 E. Prutsev M
9 G. Robail F
Bench (9)
30 Abner
16 M. Prévot
33 Noah Nemorin
94 E. Mayilla
4 B. Lagae
21 L. Loussilaho
17 P. M. Dieng
25 Franck Atoen
2 O. Touré

Coach: Albert Sánchez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,25
U
3,38
B
3,00
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,25
U1,5
3,70
O2,5
1,85
U2,5 ✓
2,00
O3,5
3,05
U3,5 ✓
1,36
Both teams to score
BLS ja
1,62
BLS nei ✓
2,15

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.