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Ligue 1

Referee: Clement Turpin

Monaco

S S S S U

2–1

Full-time

Lens

S T T S U

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Lens

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

2,2

2,3

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

75%

25%

Points per game

2,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

25%

75%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

2,0

3,8

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

0,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

9 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 8

3 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Monaco 2. · Lens 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lille	4	3	1	0	+5	-0.9	10
2	Monaco	4	3	1	0	+4	+1.1	10
3	Rennes	4	3	1	0	+3	-1.2	10
4	Lyon	4	2	2	0	+4	-1.0	8
5	Paris FC	4	2	2	0	+4	+3.0	8
6	Strasbourg	4	2	1	1	+1	-2.8	7
7	Brest	4	1	2	1	+0	+4.0	5
8	Paris SG	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.4	5
9	Lorient	4	1	2	1	+0	-0.7	5
10	Lens	4	1	1	2	+1	+3.7	4
11	Angers	4	1	1	2	-1	+0.5	4
12	Troyes	4	1	1	2	-5	-0.4	4
13	Marseille	4	1	0	3	+0	+1.4	3
14	Le Mans	4	0	3	1	-1	-2.1	3
15	Auxerre	4	1	0	3	-6	-2.3	3
16	Le Havre	4	0	2	2	-2	-1.8	2
17	Toulouse	4	0	2	2	-3	+0.2	2
18	Nice	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rennes	3	2	1	0	+2	-1.2	7
2	Paris FC	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.6	4
3	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.1	4
4	Lille	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.2	4
5	Strasbourg	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.1	4
6	Marseille	2	1	0	1	+3	+1.7	3
7	Lens	2	1	0	1	+2	+2.6	3
8	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
9	Auxerre	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.3	3
10	Le Mans	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.1	2
11	Nice	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.2	2
12	Lorient	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
13	Brest	2	0	1	1	-1	+2.0	1
14	Le Havre	3	0	1	2	-2	-0.8	1
15	Troyes	2	0	1	1	-4	-1.4	1
16	Paris SG	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
17	Angers	2	0	0	2	-3	+0.8	0
18	Toulouse	2	0	0	2	-3	+2.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Monaco	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.8	7
2	Lille	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.8	6
3	Paris SG	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.4	5
4	Angers	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.3	4
5	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.1	4
6	Brest	2	1	1	0	+1	+2.1	4
7	Paris FC	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.4	4
8	Lorient	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	4
9	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
10	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.7	3
11	Troyes	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.0	3
12	Toulouse	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.9	2
13	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
14	Le Mans	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.1	1
15	Lens	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.1	1
16	Marseille	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.3	0
17	Nice	2	0	0	2	-4	-1.6	0
18	Auxerre	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.