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Ekstraklasa

Referee: Mateusz Piszczelok

Widzew Lodz

U T T U U

2–2

Full-time

Wieczysta Krakow

T T T U T

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Widzew Lodz Wieczysta Krakow

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,7

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 8/7 matches

Win Ø 14%

13%

14%

Points per game

1,0

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

50%

57%

Both score Ø 67%

63%

71%

Average goals

2,8

3,4

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,4

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

54% Possession 46%

19 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Widzew Lodz 11. · Wieczysta Krakow 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	8	7	0	1	+8	+2.3	21
2	Legia	8	4	4	0	+9	+4.6	16
3	Lech Poznan	7	5	1	1	+6	+6.4	16
4	Zaglebie	8	4	3	1	+3	-0.2	15
5	Wisla	8	4	2	2	+4	+4.5	14
6	Piast Gliwice	8	4	1	3	+2	-4.8	13
7	Pogon Szczecin	7	3	3	1	+5	-1.1	12
8	Jagiellonia	7	4	0	3	+1	+1.9	12
9	Korona Kielce	8	3	3	2	+1	-3.6	12
10	GKS Katowice	7	3	0	4	+2	-1.3	9
11	Widzew Lodz	8	1	5	2	+0	-0.2	8
12	Cracovia	8	2	2	4	-4	+3.2	8
13	Wisla Plock	7	2	2	3	-5	-0.9	8
14	Radomiak Radom	8	2	2	4	-9	-2.4	8
15	Slask Wroclaw	8	1	3	4	-3	-0.1	6
16	Motor Lublin	8	1	2	5	-6	-1.0	5
17	Wieczysta Krakow	7	1	1	5	-6	-0.9	4
18	Rakow	8	1	0	7	-8	-6.5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla	4	4	0	0	+6	+2.1	12
2	Lech Poznan	4	3	1	0	+5	+4.6	10
3	Zaglebie	4	3	1	0	+4	+0.8	10
4	Gornik Zabrze	4	3	0	1	+2	-1.0	9
5	Legia	4	2	2	0	+7	+2.0	8
6	Pogon Szczecin	5	2	2	1	+3	-0.2	8
7	Piast Gliwice	4	2	1	1	+3	-2.6	7
8	Radomiak Radom	5	2	1	2	-2	+0.0	7
9	GKS Katowice	2	2	0	0	+7	+2.4	6
10	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+0	-0.1	6
11	Cracovia	4	2	0	2	-1	+2.2	6
12	Slask Wroclaw	4	1	2	1	+0	-1.8	5
13	Wisla Plock	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.2	4
14	Korona Kielce	4	0	3	1	-2	-1.6	3
15	Motor Lublin	4	1	0	3	-3	+1.7	3
16	Rakow	5	1	0	4	-5	-3.1	3
17	Widzew Lodz	4	0	2	2	-2	+0.2	2
18	Wieczysta Krakow	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Gornik Zabrze	4	4	0	0	+6	+3.3	12
2	Korona Kielce	4	3	0	1	+3	-1.9	9
3	Legia	4	2	2	0	+2	+2.5	8
4	Widzew Lodz	4	1	3	0	+2	-0.4	6
5	Jagiellonia	4	2	0	2	+1	+2.0	6
6	Lech Poznan	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.7	6
7	Piast Gliwice	4	2	0	2	-1	-2.1	6
8	Zaglebie	4	1	2	1	-1	-1.0	5
9	Pogon Szczecin	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.9	4
10	Wisla Plock	4	1	1	2	-5	-2.1	4
11	Wieczysta Krakow	5	1	0	4	-5	-0.2	3
12	GKS Katowice	5	1	0	4	-5	-3.6	3
13	Wisla	4	0	2	2	-2	+2.4	2
14	Motor Lublin	4	0	2	2	-3	-2.7	2
15	Cracovia	4	0	2	2	-3	+1.0	2
16	Slask Wroclaw	4	0	1	3	-3	+1.7	1
17	Radomiak Radom	3	0	1	2	-7	-2.4	1
18	Rakow	3	0	0	3	-3	-3.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.