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Pro League
Charleroi
U T U S S
2–2
Full-time
Lokeren
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Lokeren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 24/28 matches
Win Ø 34%
38%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
58%
50%
Both score Ø 62%
63%
61%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Charleroi 8. · Lokeren 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 25 19 1 5 +42 58
2 Gent 25 15 7 3 +25 52
3 Anderlecht 25 14 7 4 +15 49
4 Oostende 26 13 6 7 +10 45
5 Genk 23 13 3 7 +15 42
6 Standard 28 12 3 13 -11 39
7 Mechelen 28 10 6 12 -7 36
8 Charleroi 24 9 6 9 +3 33
9 Waregem 26 9 6 11 -1 33
10 Kortrijk 26 8 9 9 -1 33
11 Lokeren 28 8 7 13 -7 31
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 7 9 12 -10 30
13 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
15 St Truiden 28 8 4 16 -15 28
16 Beveren 28 7 5 16 -23 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. Apr -16 Lokeren – Charleroi 1–0

Match report

Charleroi Lokeren
6′
H. Harbaoui 0–1
M. Marić
8′
H. Harbaoui 0–2
M. Tičinović
1–2 J. Perbet
12′
Half-time 1–2
E. Sağlık 🔁
↦ D. Dessoleil
46′
D. Pollet 🔁
↦ S. Ninis
64′
64′
🔁 M. Terki
↦ A. Patosi
C. Tainmont 🔁
↦ A. Baby
67′
83′
🔁 B. Ňinaj
↦ S. Bolbat
2–2 J. Perbet
Clinton Mata
94′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau
41 F. N'Ganga
8 Javi Martos
24 D. Dessoleil
29 S. Ninis
25 D. Marcq
18 A. Baby
13 C. Diandy
88 D. N'Dongala
19 Clinton Mata
21 J. Perbet
Bench (7)
28 E. Sağlık
10 D. Pollet
7 C. Tainmont
3 S. Willems
5 B. Boulenger
22 G. François
35 P. Mandanda

Lokeren

13 D. Verhulst
5 M. Marić
11 G. Galitsios
19 M. Tičinović
15 S. Ingason
7 K. Overmeire
21 M. Mirić
20 J. Rassoul
9 H. Harbaoui
10 A. Patosi
50 S. Bolbat
Bench (7)
14 M. Terki
25 B. Ňinaj
1 B. Barry
17 C. Dessers
24 R. Gyselinck
29 L. Enoh
31 R. Ringoet

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.