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Eliteserien
Referee: Kai Erik Steen
Lillestrom
U U T S U
1–1
Full-time
Aalesund
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,0
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
This season — Eliteserien · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,2
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
3,6
2,2
Scored
2,0
0,6
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
18 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 10. · Aalesund 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Odd 6 4 2 0 +7 14
2 Rosenborg 5 4 0 1 +6 12
3 Molde 5 3 2 0 +4 11
4 Brann 6 3 2 1 +0 11
5 Haugesund 6 3 1 2 +2 10
6 Stromsgodset 6 3 1 2 +1 10
7 Viking 6 3 1 2 +1 10
8 Bodo/Glimt 6 2 1 3 +1 7
9 Sogndal 6 2 1 3 -2 7
10 Lillestrom 5 1 3 1 +2 6
11 Tromso 5 1 3 1 -2 6
12 Stabaek 6 1 1 4 -4 4
13 Valerenga 5 1 0 4 -2 3
14 Start 5 0 3 2 -4 3
15 Aalesund 5 1 0 4 -5 3
16 Sarpsborg 08 5 0 3 2 -5 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Aalesund
Malaury Martin 🟨
7′
25′
🟨 Mikkel Kirkeskov
37′
🟨 Adam Orn Arnarson
1–0 F. Friday
M. Ofkir
38′
39′
F. Boli 1–1
P. Larsen
Half-time 1–1
54′
🟨 Oddbjorn Lie
63′
🔁 A. Þrándarson
↦ J. Riise
M. Lundemo 🔁
↦ A. Vilhjálmsson
64′
73′
🔁 E. Gyasi
↦ M. Abdellaoue
81′
🔁 F. Carlsen
↦ F. Boli
O. Rindarøy 🔁
↦ J. Kolstad
82′
F. Kippe 🔁
↦ M. Martin
94′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Lillestrom

77 A. Origi G
16 H. Skogseid D
22 M. Jakobsen D
4 M. Amundsen D
3 S. Mikalsen D
8 M. Martin M
17 J. Kolstad
18 B. Innocent M
9 A. Vilhjálmsson F
23 F. Friday F
20 M. Ofkir M
Bench (7)
10 M. Lundemo
5 O. Rindarøy
13 F. Kippe
2 M. Falkeborn
12 J. Faye Lund
15 E. Brenden
26 S. Sinyan

Aalesund

1 A. Lie G
6 J. Riise
5 O. Lie D
23 E. Skagestad
2 M. Kirkeskov D
22 A. Arnarson D
21 B. Riise M
10 P. Larsen M
18 V. Hoff M
30 M. Abdellaoue F
7 F. Boli F
Bench (6)
11 A. Þrándarson
14 E. Gyasi
8 F. Carlsen
3 D. Grétarsson
15 Marlinho
24 L. Cramer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Kai Erik Steen · 84 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.