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Serie A

Referee: Francesco Fourneau

Venezia

S T T T T

2–4

Full-time

Fiorentina

U S T T T

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

0,7

0,3

Conceded

2,3

3,0

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-2,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,71 xG 3,35

63% Possession 37%

10 Shots 19

3 Shots on target 10

1 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Venezia 18. · Fiorentina 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Roma	3	3	0	0	+9	+5.3	9
2	Inter	3	3	0	0	+5	+3.0	9
3	Lazio	3	3	0	0	+3	+1.0	9
4	Como	3	2	1	0	+4	-1.0	7
5	Milan	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.3	7
6	Juventus	3	2	1	0	+3	+3.1	7
7	Frosinone	3	2	0	1	+3	-2.8	6
8	Atalanta	3	2	0	1	+1	-2.7	6
9	Cagliari	3	2	0	1	+1	-1.9	6
10	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.1	4
11	Sassuolo	3	1	1	1	+0	+2.4	4
12	Napoli	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.4	3
13	Torino	3	1	0	2	-1	-1.5	3
14	Lecce	3	1	0	2	-3	-3.1	3
15	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-2	+2.0	1
16	Parma	3	0	1	2	-3	-1.5	1
17	Monza	3	0	1	2	-4	+0.9	1
18	Venezia	3	0	0	3	-5	-2.1	0
19	Genoa	3	0	0	3	-6	-1.3	0
20	Fiorentina	3	0	0	3	-8	-1.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Roma	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.7	6
2	Inter	2	2	0	0	+4	-0.2	6
3	Atalanta	2	2	0	0	+2	-2.7	6
4	Juventus	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.3	4
5	Milan	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
6	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
7	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
8	Frosinone	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.8	3
9	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.1	3
10	Udinese	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.3	1
11	Bologna	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.1	1
12	Parma	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
13	Monza	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0
14	Napoli	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.3	0
15	Torino	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
16	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.7	0
17	Fiorentina	2	0	0	2	-4	+1.0	0
18	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.6	0
19	Genoa	2	0	0	2	-5	-0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Como	3	2	1	0	+4	-1.0	7
2	Lazio	2	2	0	0	+2	-0.2	6
3	Milan	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	4
4	Roma	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
5	Frosinone	1	1	0	0	+3	-1.0	3
6	Napoli	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.1	3
7	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
8	Lecce	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.5	3
9	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
10	Inter	1	1	0	0	+1	+3.2	3
11	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
12	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.6	3
13	Sassuolo	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.8	1
14	Monza	2	0	1	1	-3	+0.2	1
15	Atalanta	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
16	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
17	Bologna	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.9	0
18	Parma	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
19	Venezia	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.4	0
20	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.