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La Liga
Referee: Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban
Valencia
S U S S U
0–1
Full-time
Betis
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
0,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,12 xG 0,71
42% Possession 58%
16 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 11. · Betis 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Sevilla 2 2 0 0 +3 -0.5 6
2 Alaves 2 1 1 0 +3 +3.3 4
3 Ath Madrid 2 1 1 0 +2 -2.0 4
4 Barcelona 1 1 0 0 +5 +3.7 3
5 Espanol 2 1 0 1 +2 -0.4 3
6 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.7 3
7 Betis 1 1 0 0 +1 -0.1 3
8 Getafe 2 1 0 1 -2 -1.8 3
9 Villarreal 2 0 2 0 +0 +1.6 2
10 La Coruna 2 0 2 0 +0 -1.7 2
11 Valencia 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.1 1
12 Celta 1 0 1 0 +0 +0.1 1
13 Osasuna 1 0 1 0 +0 -0.6 1
14 Vallecano 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.9 1
15 Santander 2 0 1 1 -1 +1.3 1
16 Malaga 2 0 1 1 -2 +0.1 1
17 Levante 2 0 1 1 -3 -0.7 1
18 Elche 2 0 1 1 -5 -2.8 1
19 Sociedad 1 0 0 1 -1 +0.1 0
20 Ath Bilbao 1 0 0 1 -2 +0.8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Betis
Ryunosuke Sato 🟨
26′
42′
🟨 Junior Firpo
Half-time 0–0
F. Ugrinic 🔁
↦ A. Danjuma
55′
U. Sadiq 🔁
↦ H. Duro
55′
L. Rioja 🔁
↦ P. Maffeo
55′
59′
🔁 F. Garcia
↦ J. Firpo
59′
🔁 Isco
↦ R. Riquelme
71′
🔁 H. Bellerin
↦ A. Ortiz
71′
🔁 T. Parrott
↦ C. Hernandez
79′
🔁 P. Garcia
↦ P. Fornals
83′
P. Garcia 0–1
F. Garcia
A. Dieng 🔁
↦ G. Rodriguez
88′
D. Otorbi 🔁
↦ Pepelu
88′
Mouctar Diakhaby 🟨
89′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Valencia

5-4-1
1 S. Dimitrievski G
24 P. Maffeo D
5 C. Tarrega D
18 Pepelu D
4 M. Diakhaby D
21 J. Vazquez D
39 R. Sato M
2 G. Rodriguez M
8 J. Guerra M
7 A. Danjuma M
9 H. Duro F
Bench (12)
25 K. van Oevelen
14 J. Gaya
29 A. Panach
36 I. Cordoba
15 A. Dieng
23 F. Ugrinic
10 A. Almeida
38 J. Dura
6 U. Sadiq
19 D. Raba
11 L. Rioja
27 D. Otorbi

Coach: Carlos Corberan

Betis

4-2-3-1
1 A. Valles G
12 A. Ortiz D
3 D. Llorente D
16 V. Gomez D
23 J. Firpo D
6 F. Bernal M
8 P. Fornals M
7 Antony M
18 N. Deossa M
17 R. Riquelme M
9 C. Hernandez F
Bench (12)
40 A. de Pablo
31 M. Gonzalez
5 M. Bartra
2 H. Bellerin
11 F. Garcia
4 Natan
22 Isco
21 M. Roca
15 A. Fidalgo
19 T. Parrott
14 I. Losada
33 P. Garcia

Coach: Manuel Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,77
U
3,24
B ✓
2,56
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.