La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Valencia
Betis
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sevilla
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | -0.5 | 6 |
| 2 |
Alaves
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +3 | +3.3 | 4 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | -2.0 | 4 |
| 4 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | +3.7 | 3 |
| 5 |
Espanol
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | -0.4 | 3 |
| 6 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +1.7 | 3 |
| 7 |
Betis
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | -0.1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Getafe
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -1.8 | 3 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | +1.6 | 2 |
| 10 |
La Coruna
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0 | -1.7 | 2 |
| 11 |
Valencia
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.1 | 1 |
| 12 |
Celta
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | +0.1 | 1 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | -0.6 | 1 |
| 14 |
Vallecano
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1.9 | 1 |
| 15 |
Santander
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | +1.3 | 1 |
| 16 |
Malaga
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | +0.1 | 1 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | -0.7 | 1 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -5 | -2.8 | 1 |
| 19 |
Sociedad
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | +0.1 | 0 |
| 20 |
Ath Bilbao
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | +0.8 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
S. Dimitrievski
G
P. Maffeo
D
C. Tarrega
D
Pepelu
D
M. Diakhaby
D
J. Vazquez
D
R. Sato
M
G. Rodriguez
M
J. Guerra
M
A. Danjuma
M
H. Duro
F
Coach: Carlos Corberan
A. Valles
G
A. Ortiz
D
D. Llorente
D
V. Gomez
D
J. Firpo
D
F. Bernal
M
P. Fornals
M
Antony
M
N. Deossa
M
R. Riquelme
M
C. Hernandez
F
Coach: Manuel Pellegrini
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Valencia
Celta
Valencia
Barcelona
Sociedad
Valencia
Valencia
Vallecano
Ath Bilbao
Valencia
Jon Ander Gonzalez Esteban · 14 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.