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Pro League

Referee: M Ledda

St Truiden

S S S U S

1–0

Full-time

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 11/13 matches

Win Ø 44%

64%

23%

Points per game

2,1

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

45%

38%

Both score Ø 51%

55%

46%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,4

0,9

Conceded

0,9

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,51 xG 1,76

49% Possession 51%

21 Shots 20

7 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 9

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

2 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 4. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	13	9	4	0	+21	+16.4	31
2	Club Brugge	14	10	1	3	+12	+3.8	31
3	Mechelen	14	7	5	2	+7	-3.9	26
4	St Truiden	11	7	2	2	+5	+10.5	23
5	Gent	11	7	1	3	+5	+2.6	22
6	Waregem	16	6	3	7	-2	-5.5	21
7	Anderlecht	13	5	4	4	+2	+3.4	19
8	Antwerp	15	5	4	6	+0	-3.9	19
9	Cercle Brugge	17	4	5	8	-2	+1.4	17
10	Westerlo	15	4	5	6	-3	+4.9	17
11	RAAL La Louviere	16	4	5	7	-5	-6.5	17
12	Charleroi	14	4	3	7	-4	-1.6	15
13	Standard	14	4	3	7	-9	-7.8	15
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	3	4	6	-6	-3.5	13
15	Genk	11	3	3	5	-3	+0.4	12
16	Dender	17	2	4	11	-18	-10.7	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	6	6	0	0	+16	+9.0	18
2	Gent	6	5	0	1	+9	+3.2	15
3	Club Brugge	7	4	1	2	+3	-0.2	13
4	Waregem	8	4	1	3	+2	-0.9	13
5	Antwerp	9	3	3	3	+1	-0.1	12
6	St Truiden	6	4	0	2	+1	+4.4	12
7	Westerlo	7	3	2	2	+4	+5.8	11
8	Mechelen	6	2	3	1	+1	-0.4	9
9	Charleroi	7	2	3	2	+0	-0.4	9
10	RAAL La Louviere	7	2	3	2	-1	-3.6	9
11	Anderlecht	6	2	2	2	+2	+4.4	8
12	Genk	6	2	1	3	-2	+3.1	7
13	Cercle Brugge	10	1	3	6	-5	+1.8	6
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	1	2	4	-1	-1.1	5
15	Dender	8	1	1	6	-10	-5.6	4
16	Standard	6	0	3	3	-5	-1.3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	7	6	0	1	+9	+3.9	18
2	Mechelen	8	5	2	1	+6	-3.5	17
3	St. Gilloise	7	3	4	0	+5	+7.4	13
4	Standard	8	4	0	4	-4	-6.4	12
5	St Truiden	5	3	2	0	+4	+6.2	11
6	Cercle Brugge	7	3	2	2	+3	-0.4	11
7	Anderlecht	7	3	2	2	+0	-1.0	11
8	RAAL La Louviere	9	2	2	5	-4	-3.0	8
9	Waregem	8	2	2	4	-4	-4.6	8
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	6	2	2	2	-5	-2.4	8
11	Antwerp	6	2	1	3	-1	-3.9	7
12	Gent	5	2	1	2	-4	-0.7	7
13	Charleroi	7	2	0	5	-4	-1.2	6
14	Westerlo	8	1	3	4	-7	-0.9	6
15	Dender	9	1	3	5	-8	-5.0	6
16	Genk	5	1	2	2	-1	-2.7	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.