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Super League

Referee: A Kulbakov

PAOK

U S S S S

0–1

Full-time

AEK

S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

0,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,8

+0,3

This season — Super League · 30/29 matches

Win Ø 66%

60%

72%

Points per game

2,1

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

43%

48%

Both score Ø 31%

37%

24%

Average goals

2,2

2,4

Scored

1,6

1,9

Conceded

0,6

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

12 Shots 6

2 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 1

3 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PAOK 3. · AEK 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	30	21	6	3	+28	69
2	AEK	29	21	3	5	+42	66
3	PAOK	30	18	10	2	+31	64
4	Olympiakos	29	18	8	3	+42	62
5	Volos NFC	30	12	7	11	-11	43
6	Aris Thessalonikis	27	12	4	11	+13	40
7	Aris	27	12	4	11	+13	40
8	Atromitos	30	8	10	12	-3	34
9	Panetolikos	30	8	8	14	-14	32
10	OFI Crete	30	7	10	13	-13	31
11	Asteras Tripolis	30	5	13	12	-16	28
12	Lamia	30	5	11	14	-32	26
13	Ionikos	30	6	6	18	-27	24
14	Giannina	30	4	11	15	-26	23
15	Levadeiakos	30	3	11	16	-27	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	15	12	1	2	+26	37
2	Panathinaikos	15	11	3	1	+14	36
3	Olympiakos	14	10	3	1	+26	33
4	PAOK	14	10	3	1	+18	33
5	Aris Thessalonikis	14	9	2	3	+16	29
6	Aris	14	9	2	3	+16	29
7	Atromitos	15	6	6	3	+5	24
8	Asteras Tripolis	15	5	8	2	+4	23
9	Volos NFC	15	6	2	7	-9	20
10	Ionikos	15	4	5	6	-8	17
11	Levadeiakos	15	3	7	5	-5	16
12	Panetolikos	15	4	4	7	-7	16
13	Lamia	15	4	4	7	-13	16
14	Giannina	15	3	6	6	-11	15
15	OFI Crete	15	2	5	8	-14	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	15	10	3	2	+14	33
2	PAOK	16	8	7	1	+13	31
3	Olympiakos	15	8	5	2	+16	29
4	AEK	14	9	2	3	+16	29
5	Volos NFC	15	6	5	4	-2	23
6	OFI Crete	15	5	5	5	+1	20
7	Panetolikos	15	4	4	7	-7	16
8	Aris Thessalonikis	13	3	2	8	-3	11
9	Aris	13	3	2	8	-3	11
10	Atromitos	15	2	4	9	-8	10
11	Lamia	15	1	7	7	-19	10
12	Giannina	15	1	5	9	-15	8
13	Ionikos	15	2	1	12	-19	7
14	Asteras Tripolis	15	0	5	10	-20	5
15	Levadeiakos	15	0	4	11	-22	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.