Ligue 1
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Nantes
Reims
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris SG
|
28 | 21 | 3 | 4 | +40 | +5.2 | 66 |
| 2 |
Lens
|
29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | +27 | +5.7 | 60 |
| 3 |
Marseille
|
29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | +25 | +2.0 | 60 |
| 4 |
Monaco
|
28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | +20 | +4.0 | 54 |
| 5 |
Lille
|
29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +17 | +8.1 | 52 |
| 6 |
Rennes
|
29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | +17 | -1.3 | 50 |
| 7 |
Nice
|
28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | +12 | +2.6 | 44 |
| 8 |
Lorient
|
29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | +2 | -3.3 | 44 |
| 9 |
Reims
|
28 | 10 | 13 | 5 | +8 | +9.4 | 43 |
| 10 |
Lyon
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +11 | +0.7 | 41 |
| 11 |
Montpellier
|
29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | -3 | +0.8 | 37 |
| 12 |
Toulouse
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -5 | +1.1 | 35 |
| 13 |
Clermont
|
28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -13 | -5.9 | 34 |
| 14 |
Nantes
|
28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | -7 | -1.9 | 30 |
| 15 |
Strasbourg
|
28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -12 | -0.2 | 26 |
| 16 |
Auxerre
|
29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -27 | -0.1 | 26 |
| 17 |
Brest
|
28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -16 | -7.5 | 24 |
| 18 |
Troyes
|
29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -24 | -11.4 | 21 |
| 19 |
Ajaccio
|
28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | -30 | -0.6 | 21 |
| 20 |
Angers
|
28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | -42 | -7.3 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
A. Lafont
G
Pedro Chirivella
M
L. Blas
M
F. Mollet
M
M. Simon
M
Coach: A. Kombouare
Y. Diouf
G
E. Agbadou
D
T. De Smet
D
J. Cajuste
M
J. Ito
M
M. Munetsi
M
F. Balogun
F
Coach: W. Still
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lyon
Nantes
Nantes
Nice
Paris SG
Nantes
Nantes
Lens
Nantes
Rennes
M Bollengier · 79 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.