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Ligue 1
Referee: M Bollengier
Nantes
T S T U U
0–3
Full-time
Reims
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nantes Reims
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
2,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 29%
21%
36%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
43%
39%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,27 xG 2,21
48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 9
2 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nantes 14. · Reims 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Paris SG 28 21 3 4 +40 +5.2 66
2 Lens 29 17 9 3 +27 +5.7 60
3 Marseille 29 18 6 5 +25 +2.0 60
4 Monaco 28 16 6 6 +20 +4.0 54
5 Lille 29 15 7 7 +17 +8.1 52
6 Rennes 29 15 5 9 +17 -1.3 50
7 Nice 28 11 11 6 +12 +2.6 44
8 Lorient 29 12 8 9 +2 -3.3 44
9 Reims 28 10 13 5 +8 +9.4 43
10 Lyon 28 11 8 9 +11 +0.7 41
11 Montpellier 29 11 4 14 -3 +0.8 37
12 Toulouse 28 10 5 13 -5 +1.1 35
13 Clermont 28 9 7 12 -13 -5.9 34
14 Nantes 28 6 12 10 -7 -1.9 30
15 Strasbourg 28 5 11 12 -12 -0.2 26
16 Auxerre 29 6 8 15 -27 -0.1 26
17 Brest 28 5 9 14 -16 -7.5 24
18 Troyes 29 4 9 16 -24 -11.4 21
19 Ajaccio 28 6 3 19 -30 -0.6 21
20 Angers 28 2 4 22 -42 -7.3 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nantes Reims
17′
🟨 Jens Cajuste
38′
A. Flips 0–1
39′
A. Flips 0–2
F. Balogun
Half-time 0–2
S. Moutoussamy 🔁
↦ Pedro Chirivella
46′
Andrei Girotto 🟨
48′
Andrei Girotto ℹ️
VAR: Card reviewed
50′
58′
M. Munetsi 0–3
F. Centonze 🔁
↦ Andrei Girotto
59′
Mostafa Mohamed 🔁
↦ M. Sissoko
59′
I. Ganago 🔁
↦ M. Simon
60′
65′
🔁 A. Zeneli
↦ A. Flips
65′
🔁 K. Doumbia
↦ J. Cajuste
M. Coco 🔁
↦ A. Delort
77′
78′
🔁 M. Maolida
↦ J. Ito
78′
🔁 M. van Bergen
↦ F. Balogun
79′
🟨 Azor Matusiwa
85′
🔁 M. Busi
↦ T. Foket
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Nantes

4-1-4-1
1 A. Lafont G
38 João Victor D
3 Andrei Girotto D
4 N. Pallois D
24 S. Corchia D
5 Pedro Chirivella M
10 L. Blas M
17 M. Sissoko M
25 F. Mollet M
27 M. Simon M
99 A. Delort F
Bench (8)
8 S. Moutoussamy
28 F. Centonze
31 Mostafa Mohamed
14 I. Ganago
11 M. Coco
16 R. Descamps
21 J. Castelletto
7 E. Guessand

Coach: A. Kombouare

Reims

4-2-3-1
94 Y. Diouf G
32 T. Foket D
24 E. Agbadou D
5 Y. Abdelhamid D
25 T. De Smet D
21 A. Matusiwa M
8 J. Cajuste M
39 J. Ito M
15 M. Munetsi M
70 A. Flips M
29 F. Balogun F
Bench (9)
10 A. Zeneli
3 K. Doumbia
11 M. Maolida
19 M. van Bergen
4 M. Busi
9 K. Sierhuis
43 C. Keita
96 A. Olliero
49 V. Atangana Edoa

Coach: W. Still

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,05
U
3,30
B ✓
2,39
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,07
U2,5
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Bollengier · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.