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Super League
Referee: A Sidiropoulos
Apollon
S T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Panetolikos
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Apollon Panetolikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,3
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
2,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,3
This season — Super League · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 19%
7%
31%
Points per game
0,5
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
38%
59%
Both score Ø 38%
21%
55%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
4 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 8
4 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Apollon 15. · Panetolikos 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 31 23 6 2 +35 75
2 PAOK 30 18 6 6 +27 60
3 AEK 30 15 5 10 +13 50
4 Panathinaikos 31 14 6 11 +21 48
5 Giannina 30 13 8 9 +10 47
6 Aris Thessalonikis 28 13 7 8 +6 46
7 Aris 28 13 7 8 +6 46
8 OFI Crete 30 10 12 8 +1 42
9 Asteras Tripolis 30 11 6 13 -3 39
10 Volos NFC 30 9 7 14 -8 34
11 Ionikos 30 8 9 13 -7 33
12 Panetolikos 29 9 5 15 -19 32
13 Atromitos 30 7 6 17 -24 27
14 Lamia 30 5 7 18 -19 22
15 Apollon 29 2 9 18 -39 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Apollon Panetolikos
21′
🟨 Ivan Varone
1–0 A. Dauda
34′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Bakadimas
↦ J. Une-Larsson
Nikos Ioannidis 🟨
51′
56′
🟨 Derek Cornelius
63′
🔁 N. Dago
↦ I. Varone
63′
🔁 N. Vergos
↦ N. Karelis
R. Chibsah 🔁
↦ N. Martínez
64′
S. Tsiloulis 🔁
↦ A. Dauda
70′
76′
🔁 D. Flores
↦ J. Mendoza
76′
🔁 J. Morsay
↦ Frederico Duarte
84′
🟨 Nadrey Dago
J. Mbakogu 🔁
↦ N. Ioannidis
85′
Manuel Fernandes 🔁
↦ S. Tsiloulis
86′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Apollon

4-5-1
16 G. Sorčan G
22 Bruno Alves D
5 Domingues D
2 A. Dentakis D
10 N. Martínez M
64 F. Andoni M
14 V. Slivka M
21 F. Castro M
3 V. Vitlis D
27 A. Dauda F
9 N. Ioannidis F
Bench (9)
19 R. Chibsah
23 S. Tsiloulis
68 J. Mbakogu
99 Manuel Fernandes
18 E. Kragiopoulos
6 D. Baxevanidis
1 K. Kotsaris
17 J. Tutuarima
31 C. Lisgaras

Coach: B. Tennes

Panetolikos

4-5-1
91 G. Anestis G
16 J. Une-Larsson D
13 D. Cornelius D
17 J. Mårtensson M
4 F. Antunes M
11 J. Díaz M
6 I. Varone M
30 J. Mendoza M
2 K. Apostolakis D
14 Frederico Duarte M
7 N. Karelis F
Bench (9)
45 M. Bakadimas
23 N. Dago
9 N. Vergos
20 D. Flores
25 J. Morsay
22 N. Melissas
8 B. Lluy
18 C. Belevonis
10 Hélder Barbosa

Coach: Y. Anastasiou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,83
U
3,01
B
2,59
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,45
U2,5 ✓
1,51
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Sidiropoulos · 107 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
29,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.