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Ligue 2

Toulouse

S S T S S

2–1

Full-time

Paris FC

S U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Paris FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,7

2,5

Scored

2,8

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 57%

60%

53%

Points per game

2,1

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

60%

37%

Both score Ø 50%

53%

47%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

2,3

1,4

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

11 Shots 6

6 Shots on target 2

6 Corners 3

9 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 1. · Paris FC 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	30	18	9	3	+43	63
2	Paris FC	30	16	8	6	+16	56
3	Ajaccio	30	16	7	7	+11	55
4	Auxerre	30	15	9	6	+14	54
5	Sochaux	30	14	9	7	+7	51
6	Le Havre	30	10	11	9	-2	41
7	Caen	30	10	9	11	+8	39
8	Niort	30	11	6	13	+0	39
9	Pau FC	30	11	6	13	-3	39
10	Nimes	30	11	6	13	-4	39
11	Guingamp	30	9	12	9	-4	39
12	Dijon	30	11	5	14	-3	38
13	Amiens	30	8	13	9	+4	37
14	Bastia	30	8	13	9	+2	37
15	Valenciennes	30	8	12	10	-8	36
16	Grenoble	30	9	6	15	-14	33
17	Rodez	30	7	11	12	-10	32
18	Quevilly Rouen	30	7	10	13	-16	31
19	Dunkerque	30	8	6	16	-14	30
20	Nancy	30	5	8	17	-27	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	15	10	4	1	+32	34
2	Paris FC	15	9	5	1	+14	32
3	Ajaccio	15	9	3	3	+9	30
4	Pau FC	15	9	1	5	+8	28
5	Sochaux	15	8	4	3	+6	28
6	Amiens	16	7	5	4	+13	26
7	Auxerre	15	7	4	4	+10	25
8	Niort	15	7	3	5	+7	24
9	Guingamp	15	6	6	3	+4	24
10	Bastia	15	4	11	0	+8	23
11	Dijon	15	7	2	6	+2	23
12	Caen	15	7	1	7	+9	22
13	Grenoble	15	6	3	6	-1	21
14	Le Havre	16	5	5	6	-2	20
15	Dunkerque	16	5	5	6	-2	20
16	Nimes	15	5	4	6	-1	19
17	Rodez	14	3	7	4	-2	16
18	Quevilly Rouen	14	3	7	4	-4	16
19	Valenciennes	15	4	4	7	-7	16
20	Nancy	14	4	4	6	-7	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	15	8	5	2	+11	29
2	Auxerre	15	8	5	2	+4	29
3	Ajaccio	15	7	4	4	+2	25
4	Paris FC	15	7	3	5	+2	24
5	Sochaux	15	6	5	4	+1	23
6	Le Havre	14	5	6	3	+0	21
7	Valenciennes	15	4	8	3	-1	20
8	Nimes	15	6	2	7	-3	20
9	Caen	15	3	8	4	-1	17
10	Rodez	16	4	4	8	-8	16
11	Dijon	15	4	3	8	-5	15
12	Niort	15	4	3	8	-7	15
13	Guingamp	15	3	6	6	-8	15
14	Quevilly Rouen	16	4	3	9	-12	15
15	Bastia	15	4	2	9	-6	14
16	Grenoble	15	3	3	9	-13	12
17	Amiens	14	1	8	5	-9	11
18	Pau FC	15	2	5	8	-11	11
19	Dunkerque	14	3	1	10	-12	10
20	Nancy	16	1	4	11	-20	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.