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Pro League
Referee: L Visser
Waregem
S S T S T
0–2
Full-time
St Truiden
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 34%
26%
41%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
65%
47%
Both score Ø 59%
62%
56%
Average goals
3,3
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
9 Shots 15
0 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Waregem 15. · St Truiden 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 28 21 4 3 +47 67
2 Club Brugge 29 20 5 4 +35 65
3 Anderlecht 28 17 8 3 +43 59
4 Antwerp 28 18 4 6 +21 58
5 Gent 28 15 7 6 +21 52
6 Charleroi 28 14 7 7 +15 49
7 St Truiden 34 14 6 14 -3 48
8 Cercle Brugge 34 13 7 14 +4 46
9 Mechelen 28 13 5 10 +0 44
10 Kortrijk 34 11 10 13 +1 43
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 34 10 12 12 -7 42
12 Genk 27 12 5 10 +16 41
13 Standard 34 10 9 15 -14 39
14 Oostende 33 10 6 17 -28 36
15 Waregem 34 9 8 17 -25 35
16 Eupen 34 8 9 17 -18 33
17 Seraing 32 8 3 21 -36 27
18 Seraing United 32 8 3 21 -36 27
19 Beerschot VA 35 5 4 26 -36 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem St Truiden
Dion Cools 🟨
5′
7′
ℹ️ Daiki Hashioka
VAR: Penalty awarded
Half-time 0–0
Timothy Derijck 🟨
46′
47′
🟨 Wolke Janssens
52′
M. Konaté 0–1
I. Seck 🔁
↦ D. Hubert
56′
D. Kutesa 🔁
↦ Dion-Johan Cools
56′
62′
🟨 Wolke Janssens
62′
🟥 Wolke Janssens
69′
🔁 Jorge Teixeira
↦ D. Hashioka
A. Fadera 🔁
↦ T. Derijck
71′
75′
🔁 A. Koita
↦ D. Hayashi
F. Boya 🔁
↦ A. Sissako
84′
87′
🔁 R. Reitz
↦ C. Brüls
Frank Boya 🟨
90′
90′
R. Reitz 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Waregem

3-4-3
1 S. Bossut G
76 T. Derijck D
27 L. De Bock D
5 Dion-Johan Cools M
14 A. Ciranni M
24 E. Pletinckx D
6 D. Hubert M
16 A. Sissako M
9 J. Vossen F
93 Z. Gano F
17 J. Dompé F
Bench (7)
21 I. Seck
19 D. Kutesa
23 A. Fadera
15 F. Boya
33 C. Humphreys-Grant
50 S. Van Damme
11 B. Srarfi

Coach: T. Simons

St Truiden

3-1-4-2
21 D. Schmidt G
37 T. Leistner D
20 R. Bauer D
27 D. Lavalée M
4 D. Hashioka M
3 A. Al Dakhil D
44 C. Brüls M
6 M. Konaté M
22 W. Janssens M
18 T. Hara F
15 D. Hayashi F
Bench (7)
26 Jorge Teixeira
14 A. Koita
8 R. Reitz
10 S. Kagawa
9 João Klauss
85 A. Dony
31 A. Russo

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,76
U
3,40
B ✓
2,46
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,84
U2,5 ✓
1,95
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.