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Ligue 2

Bastia

T U S S U

1–1

Full-time

Auxerre

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Auxerre

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,5

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,8

This season — Ligue 2 · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 39%

27%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

30%

57%

Both score Ø 52%

47%

57%

Average goals

1,9

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,6

Conceded

0,9

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

10 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 6

2 Corners 7

10 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 14. · Auxerre 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	31	19	9	3	+44	66
2	Paris FC	31	16	8	7	+15	56
3	Ajaccio	30	16	7	7	+11	55
4	Auxerre	30	15	9	6	+14	54
5	Sochaux	30	14	9	7	+7	51
6	Le Havre	30	10	11	9	-2	41
7	Caen	30	10	9	11	+8	39
8	Niort	30	11	6	13	+0	39
9	Pau FC	30	11	6	13	-3	39
10	Nimes	30	11	6	13	-4	39
11	Guingamp	30	9	12	9	-4	39
12	Dijon	30	11	5	14	-3	38
13	Amiens	30	8	13	9	+4	37
14	Bastia	30	8	13	9	+2	37
15	Valenciennes	30	8	12	10	-8	36
16	Grenoble	30	9	6	15	-14	33
17	Rodez	30	7	11	12	-10	32
18	Quevilly Rouen	30	7	10	13	-16	31
19	Dunkerque	30	8	6	16	-14	30
20	Nancy	30	5	8	17	-27	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	16	11	4	1	+33	37
2	Paris FC	15	9	5	1	+14	32
3	Ajaccio	15	9	3	3	+9	30
4	Pau FC	15	9	1	5	+8	28
5	Sochaux	15	8	4	3	+6	28
6	Amiens	16	7	5	4	+13	26
7	Auxerre	15	7	4	4	+10	25
8	Niort	15	7	3	5	+7	24
9	Guingamp	15	6	6	3	+4	24
10	Bastia	15	4	11	0	+8	23
11	Dijon	15	7	2	6	+2	23
12	Caen	15	7	1	7	+9	22
13	Grenoble	15	6	3	6	-1	21
14	Le Havre	16	5	5	6	-2	20
15	Dunkerque	16	5	5	6	-2	20
16	Nimes	15	5	4	6	-1	19
17	Rodez	14	3	7	4	-2	16
18	Quevilly Rouen	14	3	7	4	-4	16
19	Valenciennes	15	4	4	7	-7	16
20	Nancy	14	4	4	6	-7	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	15	8	5	2	+11	29
2	Auxerre	15	8	5	2	+4	29
3	Ajaccio	15	7	4	4	+2	25
4	Paris FC	16	7	3	6	+1	24
5	Sochaux	15	6	5	4	+1	23
6	Le Havre	14	5	6	3	+0	21
7	Valenciennes	15	4	8	3	-1	20
8	Nimes	15	6	2	7	-3	20
9	Caen	15	3	8	4	-1	17
10	Rodez	16	4	4	8	-8	16
11	Dijon	15	4	3	8	-5	15
12	Niort	15	4	3	8	-7	15
13	Guingamp	15	3	6	6	-8	15
14	Quevilly Rouen	16	4	3	9	-12	15
15	Bastia	15	4	2	9	-6	14
16	Grenoble	15	3	3	9	-13	12
17	Amiens	14	1	8	5	-9	11
18	Pau FC	15	2	5	8	-11	11
19	Dunkerque	14	3	1	10	-12	10
20	Nancy	16	1	4	11	-20	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.