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Pro League
Referee: W De Cremer
St Truiden
S S U U S
3–2
Full-time
Beerschot VA
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Beerschot VA
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
0,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 27%
39%
15%
Points per game
1,4
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
45%
58%
Both score Ø 50%
55%
45%
Average goals
2,4
3,1
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

45% Possession 55%
18 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 6
5 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 8. · Beerschot VA 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 28 21 4 3 +47 67
2 Club Brugge 28 19 5 4 +33 62
3 Anderlecht 28 17 8 3 +43 59
4 Antwerp 28 18 4 6 +21 58
5 Gent 28 15 7 6 +21 52
6 Charleroi 28 14 7 7 +15 49
7 Cercle Brugge 34 13 7 14 +4 46
8 St Truiden 33 13 6 14 -4 45
9 Mechelen 28 13 5 10 +0 44
10 Kortrijk 34 11 10 13 +1 43
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 34 10 12 12 -7 42
12 Genk 27 12 5 10 +16 41
13 Standard 34 10 9 15 -14 39
14 Oostende 33 10 6 17 -28 36
15 Waregem 34 9 8 17 -25 35
16 Eupen 34 8 9 17 -18 33
17 Seraing 32 8 3 21 -36 27
18 Seraing United 32 8 3 21 -36 27
19 Beerschot VA 33 5 4 24 -33 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Beerschot VA
1–0 C. Brüls
D. Hashioka
13′
24′
M. Suzuki 1–1
R. Vaca
2–1 T. Hara
D. Hashioka
30′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🟨 Musashi Suzuki
48′
🟨 Stipe Radić
65′
🔁 R. Holzhauser
↦ D. Rigo
67′
S. Radić 2–2
L. Shankland
João Klauss 🔁
↦ D. Hayashi
72′
C. Durkin 🔁
↦ W. Janssens
72′
A. Koita 🔁
↦ D. Lavalée
72′
S. Kagawa 🔁
↦ R. Reitz
79′
85′
🔁 I. Coulibaly
↦ T. Pietermaat
Aboubakary Koita 🟨
87′
3–2 A. Koita
C. Brüls
87′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

St Truiden

3-1-4-2
21 D. Schmidt G
37 T. Leistner D
20 R. Bauer D
27 D. Lavalée M
4 D. Hashioka M
3 A. Al Dakhil D
44 C. Brüls M
8 R. Reitz M
22 W. Janssens M
18 T. Hara F
15 D. Hayashi F
Bench (7)
9 João Klauss
32 C. Durkin
14 A. Koita
10 S. Kagawa
31 A. Russo
85 A. Dony
26 Jorge Teixeira

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Beerschot VA

4-4-2
72 A. Lejoly G
15 P. Bourdin D
27 R. Halaïmia D
29 T. De Smet D
55 S. Radić D
16 T. Pietermaat M
18 R. Sanusi M
35 D. Rigo M
11 R. Vaca M
10 M. Suzuki F
17 L. Shankland F
Bench (7)
8 R. Holzhauser
28 I. Coulibaly
21 A. Okyere
26 K. Hosten
66 A. Konstantopoulos
44 M. Lemos
38 D. Mukuna-Trouet

Coach: G. Vanderidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,55
U
4,11
B
5,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,95
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W De Cremer · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.