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La Liga
Referee: Carlos del Cerro
Mallorca
U U S S T
0–0
Full-time
Villarreal
S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mallorca Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 4/3 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 29%
25%
33%
Average goals
1,5
1,3
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

34% Possession 66%
10 Shots 11
1 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 1
4 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mallorca 10. · Villarreal 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 5 3 2 0 +3 11
2 Real Madrid 4 3 1 0 +7 10
3 Valencia 4 3 1 0 +7 10
4 Ath Bilbao 5 2 3 0 +3 9
5 Sociedad 4 3 0 1 +2 9
6 Osasuna 5 2 2 1 +0 8
7 Sevilla 3 2 1 0 +4 7
8 Vallecano 5 2 1 2 +3 7
9 Barcelona 3 2 1 0 +3 7
10 Mallorca 4 2 1 1 +0 7
11 Elche 5 1 3 1 +0 6
12 Betis 4 1 2 1 +0 5
13 Cadiz 5 1 2 2 -2 5
14 Levante 5 0 4 1 -1 4
15 Villarreal 3 0 3 0 +0 3
16 Espanol 4 0 2 2 -2 2
17 Granada 4 0 2 2 -5 2
18 Celta 5 0 1 4 -6 1
19 Getafe 5 0 0 5 -7 0
20 Alaves 4 0 0 4 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mallorca Villarreal
Joan Sastre 🔁
↦ Pablo Maffeo
38′
Joan Sastre 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
Amath Ndiaye 🟨
53′
54′
🟨 Boulaye Dia
56′
🔁 Dani Parejo
↦ F. Coquelin
56′
🔁 Paco Alcácer
↦ B. Dia
56′
🔁 Yeremi Pino
↦ A. Groeneveld
57′
🔁 Alberto Moreno
↦ Manu Trigueros
59′
🟨 Yéremi Pino
M. Hoppe 🔁
↦ Fer Niño
60′
L. Junior 🔁
↦ A. Ndiaye
60′
73′
🔁 Rubén Peña
↦ P. Estupiñán
84′
🟨 Raúl Albiol
Lee Kang-In 🔁
↦ T. Kubo
91′
R. Battaglia 🔁
↦ I. Baba
91′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Mallorca

4-4-2
1 Manolo Reina G
18 Jaume Costa D
3 Brian Oliván D
15 Pablo Maffeo D
24 M. Valjent D
8 Salva Sevilla M
14 Dani Rodríguez F
12 I. Baba M
17 T. Kubo M
23 A. Ndiaye M
26 Fer Niño F
Bench (12)
2 Joan Sastre
25 M. Hoppe
11 L. Junior
19 Lee Kang-In
16 R. Battaglia
6 Febas
7 Jordi Mboula
9 Abdón Prats
13 D. Greif
10 Antonio Sánchez
29 Josep Gayá
28 Marc Carmona

Coach: Luis García

Villarreal

4-3-3
13 G. Rulli G
3 Albiol D
12 P. Estupiñán D
4 Pau Torres D
8 J. Foyth D
6 E. Capoue M
19 F. Coquelin M
23 Moi Gómez F
14 Manu Trigueros M
15 A. Groeneveld F
16 B. Dia F
Bench (10)
5 Dani Parejo
9 Paco Alcácer
21 Yeremi Pino
18 Alberto Moreno
20 Rubén Peña
2 Mario Gaspar
24 Pedraza
1 Asenjo
10 Iborra
22 A. Mandi

Coach: Unai Emery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,47
U ✓
3,13
B
2,29
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,40
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Carlos del Cerro · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.