Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Norrkoping
Orebro
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Djurgarden
|
19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | +16 | 38 |
| 2 |
AIK
|
18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 37 |
| 3 |
Elfsborg
|
18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | +16 | 36 |
| 4 |
Malmo FF
|
19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | +16 | 35 |
| 5 |
Norrkoping
|
18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | +6 | 27 |
| 6 |
Hammarby
|
18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 27 |
| 7 |
Kalmar
|
18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | +0 | 27 |
| 8 |
Varberg
|
18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | +0 | 26 |
| 9 |
Sirius
|
19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -8 | 26 |
| 10 |
Hacken
|
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | +0 | 23 |
| 11 |
Goteborg
|
18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | +0 | 22 |
| 12 |
Halmstad
|
18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 |
Degerfors
|
19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | -16 | 18 |
| 14 |
Mjallby
|
19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -6 | 17 |
| 15 | Orebro | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -22 | 13 |
| 16 | Ostersunds | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | -15 | 9 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Malmo FF
Norrkoping
Norrkoping
Halmstad
Norrkoping
Norrkoping
Norrkoping
Kalmar
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.