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Allsvenskan

Referee: G Maqedonci

Helsingborg

U T U T T

1–4

Full-time

Varnamo

U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Helsingborg Varnamo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

This season — Allsvenskan · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 12%

11%

13%

Points per game

0,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

44%

38%

Both score Ø 53%

56%

50%

Average goals

2,1

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

11 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 5

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Helsingborg 15. · Varnamo 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AIK	10	6	2	2	+3	20
2	Hammarby	8	5	2	1	+9	17
3	Hacken	8	5	2	1	+6	17
4	Djurgarden	9	4	3	2	+9	15
5	Malmo FF	9	4	3	2	+1	15
6	Mjallby	8	4	2	2	+3	14
7	Sirius	9	4	2	3	-4	14
8	Norrkoping	8	4	1	3	+5	13
9	Kalmar	8	4	0	4	+3	12
10	Elfsborg	8	3	2	3	+6	11
11	Goteborg	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Varberg	8	2	2	4	-5	8
13	Varnamo	8	1	3	4	-5	6
14	Degerfors	8	2	0	6	-12	6
15	Helsingborg	9	1	2	6	-5	5
16	Sundsvall	8	1	0	7	-15	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AIK	6	5	1	0	+6	16
2	Djurgarden	5	4	1	0	+11	13
3	Malmo FF	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Mjallby	4	3	1	0	+5	10
5	Hacken	4	3	0	1	+4	9
6	Sirius	4	3	0	1	+1	9
7	Hammarby	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Norrkoping	4	2	1	1	+5	7
9	Elfsborg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
10	Kalmar	4	2	0	2	+2	6
11	Varnamo	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Goteborg	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Helsingborg	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Varberg	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Sundsvall	4	1	0	3	-6	3
16	Degerfors	4	1	0	3	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hammarby	4	3	0	1	+6	9
2	Hacken	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Kalmar	4	2	0	2	+1	6
4	Goteborg	4	2	0	2	+1	6
5	Norrkoping	4	2	0	2	+0	6
6	Sirius	5	1	2	2	-5	5
7	Malmo FF	5	1	2	2	-5	5
8	Elfsborg	4	1	1	2	+3	4
9	Varberg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
10	Mjallby	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	AIK	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Degerfors	4	1	0	3	-5	3
13	Djurgarden	4	0	2	2	-2	2
14	Helsingborg	5	0	1	4	-4	1
15	Varnamo	4	0	1	3	-6	1
16	Sundsvall	4	0	0	4	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.